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Causality in Epidemiology01:21

Causality in Epidemiology

Causality or causation is a fundamental concept in epidemiology, vital for understanding the relationships between various factors and health outcomes. Despite its importance, there's no single, universally accepted definition of causality within the discipline. Drawing from a systematic review, causality in epidemiology encompasses several definitions, including production, necessary and sufficient, sufficient-component, counterfactual, and probabilistic models. Each has its strengths and...
Woodward–Hoffmann Selection Rules and Microscopic Reversibility01:34

Woodward–Hoffmann Selection Rules and Microscopic Reversibility

Electrocyclic reactions, cycloadditions, and sigmatropic rearrangements are concerted pericyclic reactions that proceed via a cyclic transition state. These reactions are stereospecific and regioselective. The stereochemistry of the products depends on the symmetry characteristics of the interacting orbitals and the reaction conditions. Accordingly, pericyclic reactions are classified as either symmetry-allowed or symmetry-forbidden. Woodward and Hoffmann presented the selection criteria for...
Criteria for Causality: Bradford Hill Criteria - II01:28

Criteria for Causality: Bradford Hill Criteria - II

The Bradford Hill criteria serve as guidelines for establishing causative links in epidemiological research. Beyond Strength, Consistency, Specificity, and Temporality, key criteria also include Biological Gradient, Plausibility, Coherence, Experiment, and Analogy. These principles assist scientists in assessing the likelihood of causation in complex biological contexts. Below is a summary of these concepts:
Criteria for Causality: Bradford Hill Criteria - I01:30

Criteria for Causality: Bradford Hill Criteria - I

The Bradford Hill criteria are a group of principles that provide a framework to determine a causal relationship between a specific factor and a disease. There are nine criteria that are pivotal in assessing causality in epidemiological studies. Here's a closer look at Strength, Consistency, Specificity, and Temporality criteria with definitions and examples:
Entropy Change in Reversible Processes01:10

Entropy Change in Reversible Processes

In the Carnot engine, which achieves the maximum efficiency between two reservoirs of fixed temperatures, the total change in entropy is zero. The observation can be generalized by considering any reversible cyclic process consisting of many Carnot cycles. Thus, it can be stated that the total entropy change of any ideal reversible cycle is zero.
The statement can be further generalized to prove that entropy is a state function. Take a cyclic process between any two points on a p-V diagram.
Hindsight Biases01:12

Hindsight Biases

Hindsight bias leads you to believe that the event you just experienced was predictable, even though it really wasn’t. In other words, you knew all along that things would turn out the way they did. Can you relate this to the phrase "Hindsight is 20/20" now?

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Related Experiment Video

Updated: May 23, 2026

Exploring the Role of Deontic Reasoning and World Knowledge in Wason´s Selection Task
06:08

Exploring the Role of Deontic Reasoning and World Knowledge in Wason´s Selection Task

Published on: July 22, 2025

Causal Markov violations and hidden mechanisms.

Niels Skovgaard-Olsen1

  • 1Institute of Psychology, University of Freiburg.

Journal of Experimental Psychology. Learning, Memory, and Cognition
|May 21, 2026
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Participants often violate the causal Markov condition in psychological experiments. This study reveals these violations stem from a persistent reasoning error, not hidden variables or missing mechanistic knowledge.

Related Experiment Videos

Last Updated: May 23, 2026

Exploring the Role of Deontic Reasoning and World Knowledge in Wason´s Selection Task
06:08

Exploring the Role of Deontic Reasoning and World Knowledge in Wason´s Selection Task

Published on: July 22, 2025

Area of Science:

  • Cognitive Psychology
  • Causal Inference
  • Decision Making

Background:

  • Causal Bayes nets are widely used to model causal inferences.
  • However, psychological experiments reveal persistent violations of the causal Markov condition.
  • Previous explanations proposed divergent causal representations by participants.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To present a novel method for determining participants' causal representations.
  • To investigate how participants update causal representations with mechanistic information.
  • To examine if hidden mechanisms explain Markov violations.

Main Methods:

  • Systematic experiments investigating participants' representation of causal structures.
  • Integration of mechanistic information to assess updates in causal representations.
  • Analysis of Markov violations in relation to hidden variables and mechanistic knowledge.

Main Results:

  • Participants' Markov violations are not explained by hidden variables or missing mechanistic knowledge.
  • A persistent reasoning error was identified as the cause of these violations.
  • This error is robust to task format variations but can be mitigated.

Conclusions:

  • The causal Markov condition violations in psychological experiments are attributed to a consistent reasoning error.
  • This error is independent of hidden variables or incomplete knowledge of causal mechanisms.
  • Interventions can reduce these reasoning errors, offering avenues for cognitive training.