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Addressing the 'optimal cutoff' Bias in Primary Care Testing.
Jack Dowie1,2, Mette Kjer Kaltoft2, Vije Kumar Rajput3
1London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Optimal cutoffs for ordinal mental health tests, while useful for population research, do not benefit individual patient care. Eliminating this "optimality bias" provides personalized test results for informed clinical decisions.
Area of Science:
- Psychometrics
- Clinical Decision Making
- Mental Health Assessment
Background:
- Ordinal tests are crucial for identifying mental disorders in primary care, typically validated against binary standards.
- Diagnostic accuracy is assessed using Sensitivity and Specificity at various cutoffs, with an 'optimal' cutoff maximizing population separation (e.g., Youden's statistic).
- This 'optimal' cutoff, while statistically sound for research, lacks clinical utility for individual patient screening and case-finding, hindering personalized post-test decision-making.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the "optimality bias" in ordinal mental health tests.
- To demonstrate how this bias impacts clinical practice and patient-centered care.
- To propose a method for eliminating the optimality bias.
Main Methods:
- Empirical investigation of the optimality bias magnitude.
- Utilized DEPRESSD Individual Participant dataset-based meta-analyses.
- Included Edinburgh Postnatal Depression Scale and Patient Health Questionnaire 9.
Main Results:
- Developed an online Clinical Information Aid.
- The aid provides instant access to all test metric outputs across all cutoffs.
- Crucially, it offers metrics at the patient's precise score, addressing individual needs.
Conclusions:
- The "optimality bias" in ordinal test interpretation can be empirically established.
- This bias can be effectively eliminated through the use of comprehensive, individualized test metric outputs.
- Clinical tools can be developed to provide personalized results, supporting informed patient decision-making.
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