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AI-Driven Precision Learning in Neurosurgical Residency: Integrating Predictive Analytics Into the RCKaS Framework
Baglan Mustafayev1, Alina Mustafayeva2, Askar Bakhtiyarov3
1Department of Neurosurgery and Neuropathology, National Centre for Neurosurgery, Astana, Kazakhstan.
Background:
Competency-based neurosurgical education requires not only structured assessment but also adaptive learning systems capable of detecting individual progress patterns. The recurrence checkpoint: knowledge and skills (RCKaS) model provides quarterly formative evaluations integrating cognitive, technical, and decision-making domains. However, its reliance on manual feedback limits precision and scalability.
Objective:
To integrate artificial intelligence (AI)-driven predictive analytics into the RCKaS framework and evaluate its impact on learning efficiency, competency progression, and faculty workload.
Methods:
In this prospective controlled study, sixty neurosurgical residents were randomized into 2 groups: standard RCKaS and AI-enhanced RCKaS (RCKaS-AI). Both groups completed identical quarterly checkpoints over 1 year. The AI engine analyzed multidimensional data-including simulation metrics, performance timing, and narrative feedback-using gradient boosting and recurrent neural networks to generate individualized learning recommendations. Primary outcome was time to reach entrustment level 4 (independent practice). Secondary measures included entrustment variability, remediation frequency, faculty time, and resident satisfaction.
Results:
Fifty-six residents completed the protocol. The RCKaS-AI group achieved entrustment level 4 in 36 ± 6 weeks versus 48 ± 9 weeks in the standard group (p = 0.004). Mean entrustment scores at the final checkpoint were 91.7 ± 8.5 versus 82.4 ± 11.8 (p = 0.002). Remediation frequency decreased by 44%, and faculty time per resident was reduced by 36%. Correlation between predicted and actual entrustment scores was r = 0.82, confirming high predictive validity.
Conclusions:
Integrating AI analytics within RCKaS transforms traditional assessments into data-driven feedback cycles. The RCKaS-AI model accelerates competency acquisition, improves feedback accuracy, and operationalizes the construct of Adaptive Learning Stability, supporting more consistent longitudinal skill development.