Antifragility: A Cross-Cutting Concept for Understanding Ecological Responses to Variability

AbstractEnvironmental variability, in the form of either temporal fluctuations or intermittent perturbations, affects virtually all ecological systems. However, while temporal variability is widely recognized to play an important role across many ecological and evolutionary subdisciplines, there is no high-level cross-cutting concept that describes how species, communities, and ecosystems respond to variability. In this article we propose that "antifragility" could serve well as such a concept. Initially used in economics, antifragility denotes that a property or metric of performance increases with variability. To showcase the breadth of applicability and utility of the concept, we examine two mathematical models for antifragility in ecosystem services and competition. We also demonstrate some of the nuances and possible misapplications of the concept. Under global change, the variability of environmental conditions is expected to change. We believe that antifragility could serve as a useful concept in coordinating research efforts toward understanding the effects of these changes.