Circulating Tumor DNA in Upper Tract Urothelial Carcinoma: A Framework for Precision Perioperative Management

Upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) presents distinct diagnostic and therapeutic challenges because of its rarity, anatomic constraints, frequent understaging at biopsy, and risk of systemic recurrence after radical nephroureterectomy. Current perioperative management is driven primarily by clinicopathologic risk factors, which may be insufficient to identify occult molecular residual disease (MRD) or to determine which patients are most likely to benefit from systemic therapy. This narrative review summarizes available evidence on circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) in UTUC and related urothelial carcinoma settings, classifies the level of evidence supporting each application, and proposes a research framework for prospective evaluation. The strongest UTUC-specific evidence supports ctDNA as a prognostic biomarker associated with recurrence risk, whereas predictive validity for selecting chemotherapy, immune checkpoint inhibitors, antibody-drug conjugates, targeted therapy, or surveillance intensity remains unproven. Evidence from muscle-invasive bladder cancer, including ctDNA-correlative and ctDNA-guided perioperative trials, provides biologic rationale but should not be directly translated into routine UTUC care without disease-specific validation. We outline key implementation questions, including target population, assay selection, timing, false-positive and false-negative results, lead-time bias, and integration of plasma ctDNA with utDNA. Prospective UTUC-specific trials are needed to determine whether ctDNA-guided perioperative strategies improve survival, reduce unnecessary toxicity, and are cost-effective.