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Prognostic Factors and Recurrence in Papillary Thyroid Microcarcinoma
Aydan Farzaliyeva1, Feride Pınar Altay2, Ozlem Turhan Iyidir3
1Department of Medical Oncology, Faculty of Medicine, Baskent University, 06490 Ankara, Türkiye.
Medicina (Kaunas, Lithuania)
|May 27, 2026
Summary
Papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) shows heterogeneity. Lymph node metastasis at diagnosis, higher ATA risk, and positive margins predict recurrence, while younger age and larger tumors predict LNM. Management should be risk-adapted.
Area of Science:
- Endocrinology
- Oncology
- Pathology
Background:
- Papillary thyroid microcarcinoma (PTMC) is typically indolent but can display aggressive behavior.
- Accurate risk stratification is crucial for treatment de-escalation and active surveillance strategies.
- Understanding PTMC heterogeneity is key to personalized patient management.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate recurrence rates in PTMC patients.
- To identify clinicopathological factors associated with PTMC recurrence.
- To determine predictors of lymph node metastasis (LNM) and assess management strategies.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of 302 PTMC patients.
- Statistical evaluation using chi-square, Spearman correlation, and logistic regression.
- Assessment of associations between clinicopathological variables and outcomes.
Main Results:
- Recurrence occurred in 1.3% of patients, associated with LNM, higher ATA risk, and positive margins.
- LNM was predicted by younger age, larger tumor size, and vascular invasion (p < 0.05).
- Autoimmune thyroiditis was linked to a reduced risk of LNM (p = 0.020).
Conclusions:
- PTMC exhibits clinically significant heterogeneity, especially in cases with LNM.
- Recurrence findings are preliminary due to a low event count, requiring cautious interpretation.
- Risk-adapted management and careful patient selection are supported for PTMC treatment de-escalation.

