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From Discovery to Cure-Where Are We Now? Mortality Trends in Chronic Hepatitis C: An Analysis of CDC WONDER Database
Ashraf Ullah1, Hina Wazir2, Abdullah Sultany1
1Department of Internal Medicine, Guthrie Robert Packer Hospital, Sayre, PA 18840, USA.
Insights
Hepatitis C virus (HCV) mortality has declined nationally since 2014 due to direct-acting antivirals (DAAs), but significant disparities persist among racial/ethnic minorities and in rural areas, necessitating equitable treatment access.
Area of Science:
- Public Health
- Epidemiology
- Hepatology
Background:
- Hepatitis C virus (HCV) is a significant cause of liver-related mortality in the US.
- Direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) offer highly effective treatment, yet mortality disparities persist.
- Assessing current mortality trends is crucial for HCV elimination strategies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze national trends and disparities in Hepatitis C virus (HCV)-related mortality from 1999 to 2023.
- To identify specific populations and regions experiencing disproportionate HCV mortality.
- To evaluate the impact of direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) on HCV mortality trends.
Main Methods:
- Utilized CDC WONDER data (1999-2023) for HCV-related deaths (ICD-10 codes B17.1, B18.2).
- Calculated age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) and stratified by demographics and geography.
- Employed joinpoint regression to analyze temporal trends and annual percent changes (APCs).
Main Results:
- Overall HCV AAMR peaked in 2014 and declined by 2023 (APC -8.2%), but remained higher in males.
- American Indian/Alaska Native and non-Hispanic Black individuals showed the highest mortality rates in 2023.
- Non-metropolitan areas exhibited higher mortality and a slower decline post-2014 compared to metropolitan counties.
Conclusions:
- DAA era has reduced national HCV mortality, but progress is uneven across populations.
- Persistent disparities among Native American and Black populations suggest inequities in the HCV care cascade.
- Policy and public health strategies are needed to ensure equitable and affordable access to curative HCV treatment.
Background:
Hepatitis C virus (HCV) remains a major cause of preventable liver-related mortality in the United States despite highly effective direct-acting antivirals (DAAs). Contemporary assessment of mortality trends and disparities is essential for elimination efforts.
Methods:
Using CDC WONDER multiple cause-of-death data (1999-2023), we identified HCV-related deaths using ICD-10 codes for acute and chronic HCV (B17.1, B18.2) and calculated age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) per 100,000 (2000 US standard). Rates were stratified by sex, race/ethnicity, census region, and 2013 NCHS urban-rural classification. Joinpoint regression quantified temporal inflection points and annual percent changes (APCs).
Results:
Overall HCV-related AAMR increased from 1.8 (1999) to a peak of 5.0 (2014), then declined to 2.3 (2023), with a marked post-2014 decrease (APC -8.2%). Mortality was consistently higher in males than females (2023 rate ratio 2.57). In 2023, American Indian/Alaska Native individuals had the highest mortality (AAMR 8.7; rate ratio 3.48 vs. non-Hispanic White), followed by non-Hispanic Black individuals (AAMR 6.2; rate ratio 2.48). Mortality remained highest in the West and was higher in non-metropolitan than metropolitan counties (AAMR 2.8 vs. 2.3; rate ratio 1.22), with a slower post-2014 decline in non-metropolitan areas.
Conclusions:
Our findings indicate that while the DAA era has been associated with a substantial reduction in HCV-related mortality at the national level, this progress has not been uniform across all populations. Persistent excess mortality among Native American and non-Hispanic Black individuals may reflect inequities in the HCV care cascade, including screening, confirmatory testing, linkage to specialty care, insurance-related restrictions, and the high cost of antiviral therapy. These results highlight the need for policies and public health strategies that improve equitable and affordable access to curative HCV treatment.
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