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Published on: June 12, 2021
Risk Stratification in Predicting Cardiogenic Shock 30-Day Mortality admitted to ICU: beyond the Prognostic
Pierre-Grégoire Guinot1,2,3,4, Thomas Hanquiez5, Maxime Nguyen1,2,3,4
1Department of Anesthesiology and Intensive Care, Dijon University Hospital, F-21000 Dijon, France.
The Shock Academic Research Consortium (SHARC) classification, based on the cause of cardiogenic shock (CS), offers better 30-day mortality prediction in intensive care units (ICUs) than the Society for Cardiovascular Angiography and Interventions (SCAI) staging alone.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Intensive Care Medicine
- Clinical Research
Background:
- Cardiogenic shock (CS) is a significant cause of mortality in intensive care units (ICUs).
- The Shock Academic Research Consortium (SHARC) classification categorizes CS by etiology, complementing severity-based systems like the Society for Cardiovascular Angiography and Interventions (SCAI) classification.
- Understanding etiological factors is crucial for improving CS management and outcomes.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the association between SHARC classification categories and 30-day mortality in a contemporary ICU population.
- To compare the prognostic value of the SHARC classification with the SCAI classification for 30-day mortality.
- To assess the incremental prognostic value of integrating SHARC and SCAI classifications with clinical and hemodynamic parameters.
Main Methods:
- A bicentric retrospective cohort study included 1366 adult patients admitted with CS.
- Patients were classified into SHARC categories: AMI-CS, HF-CS, secondary-CS, and post-cardiotomy-CS.
- Multivariable logistic regression and model comparison metrics (AIC, BIC, AUC, R² ) were used to assess mortality predictors and prognostic performance.
Main Results:
- Thirty-day mortality significantly differed across SHARC classes, ranging from 48.7% in AMI-CS to 17.3% in post-cardiotomy-CS (p < 0.001).
- SHARC classification, alongside age, vasopressor use, and lactate levels, independently predicted mortality.
- The SHARC classification provided greater incremental prognostic value (AUC=0.734) than SCAI alone (AUC=0.723).
- A combined model integrating SHARC, SCAI, and hemodynamic parameters achieved the highest performance (AUC=0.819).
Conclusions:
- The SHARC etiological classification offers complementary discrimination for 30-day mortality in CS patients compared to SCAI staging alone.
- Shock pathophysiology, as defined by SHARC, significantly influences patient outcomes.
- Integrating both SHARC and SCAI classifications can enhance risk stratification and personalize therapeutic strategies for CS management.
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