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Carfentanil in the illicit drug supply: A machine learning approach for trace detection using surface-enhanced Raman
Rebecca R Martens1, Ella Newman1, Lea Gozdzialski1
1Department of Chemistry, University of Victoria, Victoria, British Columbia, V8W 2Y2, Canada.
The International Journal on Drug Policy
|June 1, 2026
Summary
Surface-enhanced Raman spectroscopy (SERS) with machine learning can reliably detect trace carfentanil in illicit drug samples. This technology offers a portable, low-cost solution for drug checking and harm reduction efforts.
Area of Science:
- Analytical Chemistry
- Spectroscopy
- Machine Learning
Background:
- Carfentanil, a potent fentanyl analogue, is increasingly found in illicit drug supplies.
- Current drug checking technologies struggle to detect carfentanil at trace levels.
- This limitation hinders effective overdose prevention strategies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and validate a novel method for reliable carfentanil detection.
- To address the limitations of existing drug checking technologies.
- To enhance harm reduction by improving drug identification capabilities.
Main Methods:
- Surface-enhanced Raman spectroscopy (SERS) using gold nanoparticles and a handheld spectrometer.
- Analysis of 250 illicit drug samples from a community drug checking service.
- Optimization of a random forest machine learning classifier with SERS data.
Main Results:
- The SERS-based model achieved 96% sensitivity and 84% specificity in predicting carfentanil.
- Successfully identified carfentanil at concentrations as low as 0.06% w/w.
- Demonstrated strong discriminatory power (AUC = 0.96) in complex mixtures.
Conclusions:
- SERS combined with machine learning reliably detects trace carfentanil in illicit drug mixtures.
- This portable and sensitive technology can enhance community-based drug checking.
- Findings support evidence-informed drug policy and harm reduction practices.
