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Autonomous Uncertainty Quantification for Computational Point-of-Care Sensors
Artem Goncharov1, Rajesh Ghosh2, Hyou-Arm Joung1
1Electrical & Computer Engineering Department, University of California, Los Angeles, California 90095, United States.
This study introduces an uncertainty quantification method for computational point-of-care (POC) diagnostics. It enhances Lyme disease detection accuracy by identifying and excluding unreliable neural network predictions, improving diagnostic sensitivity.
Area of Science:
- Biomedical Engineering
- Computational Diagnostics
- Infectious Disease Detection
Background:
- Computational point-of-care (POC) sensors offer rapid diagnostics but neural networks risk erroneous predictions.
- Accurate diagnostics are crucial in resource-limited settings for timely medical intervention.
- Lyme disease, a prevalent tick-borne illness, requires accessible and reliable diagnostic tools.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop an autonomous uncertainty quantification technique for computational POC diagnostics.
- To enhance the reliability and accuracy of neural network-based diagnostic models.
- To improve the sensitivity and robustness of POC diagnostic systems for diseases like Lyme disease.
Main Methods:
- Developed and implemented a Monte Carlo dropout (MCDO)-based uncertainty quantification approach.
- Integrated MCDO into a paper-based, computational vertical flow assay (xVFA) platform for Lyme disease diagnosis.
- Utilized a neural network inference algorithm within the xVFA system for autonomous error exclusion.
Main Results:
- The uncertainty quantification method successfully identified and excluded erroneous predictions with high uncertainty.
- Diagnostic sensitivity of the xVFA platform for Lyme disease increased from 88.2% to 95.7% in blinded testing.
- The approach improved the reliability of neural network-driven computational POC sensing systems with minimal overhead.
Conclusions:
- Autonomous uncertainty quantification significantly enhances the accuracy and reliability of computational POC diagnostics.
- The MCDO-based technique offers a robust solution for improving neural network performance in diagnostic applications.
- This advancement holds promise for more dependable diagnostics in emergency and resource-limited settings.
Related Concept Videos
Uncertainty: Overview
Propagation of Uncertainty from Random Error
Propagation of Uncertainty from Systematic Error
Uncertainty in Measurement: Reading Instruments
Uncertainty: Confidence Intervals
Uncertainty in Measurement: Accuracy and Precision

