RAG-mediated structural variation and its impact on relapse risk in acute lymphoblastic leukemia

Relapse during treatment of B-cell acute lymphoblastic leukemia (B-ALL) is a harbinger of poor outcomes. Identifying biomarkers for subsequent relapse risk which are detectable at B-ALL diagnosis remains a priority. Off-target recombination-activating gene (RAG)-mediated structural variants (SVs) generate genomic instability that drives leukemogenesis and may underlie treatment resistance. Leveraging sequencing data in 1,496 pediatric B-ALL patients enriched for relapse status (relapse n=532; non-relapse n=964), we characterized RAG-mediated SVs across B-ALL molecular subtypes and examined their association with patient characteristics and their impact on clinical outcomes. Off-target RAG-mediated SVs were overall frequent, particularly in ETV6::RUNX1 , ETV6::RUNX1 -like, and Ph-like B-ALL subtypes, while increasing age-at-diagnosis was positively associated with burden of off-target RAG-mediated SVs (P<.001). Off-target RAG-mediated SVs with a recombination signal sequence (RSS) at one breakpoint, a hallmark of off-target RAG activity, were significantly more frequent at diagnosis in patients who subsequently relapsed (P=.001). This association remained significant in multivariable regression analysis (per SV odds ratio [OR]:1.08, 95%CI:1.04-1.12), in minimal residual disease (MRD)-negative patients (OR:1.09, 95%CI:1.04-1.14) and across subtypes. Excluding deletions, MRD-negative ETV6::RUNX1 patients with ≥3 off-target RAG-mediated SVs had a >3-fold risk of relapse (hazard ratio:3.47, 95% CI:1.86-6.49). RAG-mediated SVs were also associated with relapse risk in T-cell ALL patients. Off-target RAG-mediated SV burden at diagnosis is a risk factor of relapse in pediatric ALL across molecular subtypes and independent of MRD status.