The Hidden Landscape of Missed Effects in Human Functional Neuroimaging
Stephanie Noble1,2,3, Hallee Shearer1,3, Matthew Rosenblatt4,5,6
1Department of Psychology, Northeastern University.
Biorxiv : the Preprint Server for Biology
|June 4, 2026
Summary
Functional neuroimaging studies often lack power due to inflated effect sizes. This research introduces a correction for this bias, enabling better-powered studies and a more accurate understanding of brain function.
Area of Science:
- Neuroimaging
- Cognitive Neuroscience
- Brain Research
Background:
- Functional neuroimaging studies aim to reveal brain processes but frequently suffer from underpowering.
- Existing literature lacks guidance for planning adequately powered neuroimaging studies.
- A significant barrier is the inflation of commonly reported effect sizes, which biases study planning.
Purpose of the Study:
- To introduce a correction for effect size inflation bias in functional neuroimaging.
- To provide guidance for planning more accurate and better-powered neuroimaging studies.
- To re-evaluate brain function understanding based on corrected effect sizes.
Main Methods:
- Conducted a mega-analysis of 63 functional neuroimaging studies across seven large datasets (52,979 participants).
- Introduced a novel correction method for effect size inflation bias.
- Utilized corrected effect size benchmarks for planning future studies.
Main Results:
- Common study planning methods using uncorrected effects yield approximately 50% of expected detections at typical sample sizes.
- Missed effects, when accounted for, explain significant additional variance in outcomes.
- Whole-brain multivariate approaches allow detection with smaller sample sizes (n < 50) compared to univariate effects (n > 1,000).
Conclusions:
- Corrected effect size benchmarks are crucial for informed neuroimaging study planning.
- Addressing effect size inflation can recover missed findings and improve understanding of widespread brain effects.
- These findings have implications for improving study design and reproducibility across neuroscience and biomedicine.


