Deep learning-based arterial waveform analysis for predicting postoperative cerebrovascular events in pediatric

Jung-Bin Park1, Youmin Shin2,3, Jihun Kim2,4

  • 1Department of Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine, Seoul National University Hospital, College of Medicine, Seoul National University, Republic of Korea.

Plos One
|June 4, 2026
PubMed

Insights

Deep learning models analyzing intraoperative arterial blood pressure (ABP) waveforms can predict postoperative cerebrovascular events in pediatric Moyamoya disease (MMD) patients. Diastolic runoff dynamics show potential as a key indicator for these events.

Area of Science:

  • Neuroscience
  • Biomedical Engineering
  • Artificial Intelligence in Medicine

Background:

  • Postoperative cerebrovascular events pose a significant risk for pediatric patients with Moyamoya disease (MMD) undergoing revascularization surgery.
  • Predicting these events is crucial for improving patient outcomes and surgical strategies.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop an explainable deep learning model for predicting postoperative cerebrovascular events in pediatric MMD patients.
  • To utilize intraoperative arterial blood pressure (ABP) waveform analysis for this prediction.
  • To explore waveform-derived physiologic features associated with these events.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective analysis of 181 pediatric MMD patients, with validation on a separate cohort of 79 patients.
  • Preprocessing of ABP signals and conversion into image representations for deep learning.
  • Evaluation of Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) and Vision Transformer (ViT) models, including ResNet and VGG architectures.
  • Utilized Grad-CAM for visualization and analyzed waveform-derived features.

Main Results:

  • CNN models, particularly using raw pulse waveforms, outperformed ViT models, achieving an AUROC of 0.772 internally and 0.738 in the validation cohort.
  • Grad-CAM analysis identified the diastolic runoff phase as important for classification.
  • Four features related to arterial compliance were significantly associated with postoperative events (p < 0.05).

Conclusions:

  • Convolutional Neural Network (CNN)-based deep learning models show feasibility in predicting postoperative cerebrovascular events from intraoperative ABP waveforms.
  • Diastolic runoff dynamics in ABP waveforms may represent a relevant physiologic pattern for event prediction.
  • Findings are exploratory and necessitate prospective, multi-center validation for clinical application.
Abstract

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