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Risk-sensitive collaborative parameter tuning via calibrated deep surrogates for rare-earth electrolysis energy
Yu Liu1,2, Jun Peng3, Fan Yang4
1College of Rare Earth Industry, Inner Mongolia University of Science and Technology, Baotou, 014010, Inner Mongolia, China.
Scientific Reports
|June 4, 2026
Summary
This study introduces a risk-sensitive framework for rare-earth electrolysis, improving energy efficiency safely. It uses advanced modeling to reduce constraint violations and optimize operations effectively.
Area of Science:
- Chemical Engineering
- Process Optimization
- Data Science
Background:
- Rare-earth molten salt electrolysis faces challenges in energy efficiency due to process nonlinearity and operational constraints.
- Existing data-driven methods often ignore predictive uncertainty, leading to risks of constraint violations.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop a risk-sensitive framework for collaborative parameter tuning in rare-earth electrolysis.
- To enhance energy efficiency while ensuring operational safety and minimizing constraint violations.
Main Methods:
- Utilizing calibrated deep surrogate modeling for predicting energy efficiency and quantifying uncertainty.
- Employing uncertainty-aware constrained Bayesian optimization for risk-sensitive parameter tuning.
- Implementing a deep ensemble surrogate with a calibration procedure for reliable uncertainty estimation.
Main Results:
- The proposed framework demonstrated faster convergence compared to uncertainty-agnostic methods.
- Achieved higher energy-efficiency improvements in rare-earth electrolysis.
- Significantly reduced the probability of constraint violations during operation.
Conclusions:
- The risk-sensitive framework effectively balances energy efficiency and operational safety in rare-earth electrolysis.
- Calibrated deep surrogate modeling and uncertainty-aware optimization are crucial for reliable process tuning.
- The approach offers a robust solution for complex industrial processes with strict constraints.
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