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Causal links between multi-domain risk factors and intervertebral disc degeneration: a systematic review and
Hang Zhang1, Jingnan Tian1, Yuchi Lu1
1Department of Orthopedics, Affiliated Hospital of Changchun University of Chinese Medicine, No. 1478, Gongnong Avenue, Chaoyang District, Changchun City, Jilin Province, China.
Background:
The causal roles of modifiable risk factors in intervertebral disc degeneration (IVDD) remain incompletely understood. Mendelian randomization (MR) studies have advantages over traditional observational studies. However, given the heterogeneity of current MR study designs for IVDD, the causal estimates of these reported effects remain uncertain, thereby obscuring the true biological impact of factors such as bones, metabolism, inflammation, gut microbiota, and lifestyle on IVDD.
Purpose:
This study synthesized Mendelian randomization (MR) evidence to evaluate the causal relationship between exposure factors across multiple domains and intervertebral disc degeneration(IVDD).
Methods:
We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of MR studies published up to September 30, 2025, with reporting completeness assessed using STROBE-MR. Twenty studies (12 "Excellent", 8 "Good") were included.
Results:
Higher bone mineral density significantly increased IVDD risk, including total body BMD (OR = 1.20, 1.15-1.25), lumbar spine BMD (OR = 1.18, 1.13-1.24), heel eBMD (OR = 1.06, 1.03-1.10), and femoral neck BMD (OR = 1.16, 1.09-1.24). Inflammatory cytokines IFN-γ (OR = 0.87, 0.83-0.91) and IL-18 (OR = 0.96, 0.93-0.98) showed inverse associations with IVDD risk. Specific gut microbiota were causally implicated: genus Marvinbryantia (OR = 1.14, 1.07-1.21) and phylum Bacteroidetes (OR = 1.15, 1.06-1.24) increased risk, whereas Order Rhodospirillales (OR = 0.93, 0.90-0.96), Family Rhodospirillaceae (OR = 0.92, 0.88-0.97), and genus Ruminococcaceae UCG003 (OR = 0.92, 0.87-0.97) were protective. Key lifestyle and metabolic risk factors were time watching TV (OR = 1.78, 1.52-2.08), smoking initiation (OR = 1.22, 1.12-1.33), greater height (OR = 1.14, 1.09-1.20), larger waist circumference (OR = 1.26, 1.04-1.53), body mass index (OR = 1.26, 1.14-1.38), triglycerides (OR = 1.08, 1.03-1.13), and Type 2 diabetes (OR = 1.05, 1.03-1.07).
Conclusion:
This synthesis summarizes current MR evidence suggesting potential causal links between multi-domain factors and IVDD. Among modifiable lifestyle-related factors, genetically predicted time spent watching TV showed a particularly prominent association with IVDD risk. These findings may help prioritize hypotheses for future mechanistic and prevention-oriented studies.
Insights
This study found that higher bone mineral density and certain lifestyle factors like watching TV increase the risk of intervertebral disc degeneration (IVDD). Conversely, some inflammatory cytokines and gut bacteria may be protective against IVDD.
Area of Science:
- Genetics and Epidemiology
- Musculoskeletal Health
- Microbiome Research
Background:
- The causal factors contributing to intervertebral disc degeneration (IVDD) are not fully understood.
- Mendelian randomization (MR) offers advantages over observational studies for identifying causal relationships.
- Existing MR studies for IVDD exhibit heterogeneity, leading to uncertainty in causal estimates for factors like bone health, metabolism, inflammation, gut microbiota, and lifestyle.
Purpose of the Study:
- To synthesize Mendelian randomization (MR) evidence to investigate the causal associations between various exposure factors and intervertebral disc degeneration (IVDD).
Main Methods:
- Conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of MR studies on IVDD published up to September 30, 2025.
- Assessed reporting completeness using STROBE-MR criteria.
- Included twenty MR studies, with 12 rated as "Excellent" and 8 as "Good".
Main Results:
- Elevated bone mineral density (BMD) across multiple sites (total body, lumbar spine, heel, femoral neck) was associated with increased IVDD risk.
- Specific inflammatory cytokines (IFN-γ, IL-18) showed inverse associations, suggesting a protective role.
- Certain gut bacteria (Marvinbryantia, Bacteroidetes) were linked to increased IVDD risk, while others (Rhodospirillales, Rhodospirillaceae, Ruminococcaceae UCG003) were protective.
- Modifiable factors like prolonged TV watching, smoking initiation, greater height, larger waist circumference, higher BMI, elevated triglycerides, and Type 2 diabetes were causally associated with increased IVDD risk.
Conclusions:
- This synthesis highlights potential causal links between multiple factors and IVDD based on current MR evidence.
- Genetically predicted time spent watching TV emerged as a significant modifiable lifestyle factor associated with IVDD risk.
- Findings can guide future research into the mechanisms and prevention strategies for IVDD.
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