Clinicopathological response and survival outcomes of HER2-low versus HER2-zero early breast Cancer: A systematic...

Breast cancer is the most common malignant tumor in women. Human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) is a key biomarker for classification and treatment. A subgroup with HER2-low expression has been identified, but existing evidence is heterogeneous. This systematic review and meta-analysis compared pathological response and survival outcomes between HER2-low and HER2-zero early-stage breast cancer to clarify prognostic features.

This study followed PRISMA guidelines and was registered in PROSPERO (CRD420251120506). PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, ClinicalTrials.gov, and major oncology conferences were searched through September 2025. Cohort studies of early-stage breast cancer comparing HER2-low (IHC 1+/2+ and ISH-negative) vs. HER2-zero with extractable pCR, DFS, or OS data were included. Studies involving HER2-positive patients or inconsistent definitions were excluded. Meta-analyses were performed using RevMan 5.3.

Twenty-eight studies involving 115,182 patients were included. HER2-low patients showed significantly lower pCR rates (OR = 0.58, 95% CI: 0.52-0.65). DFS favored HER2-low (multivariate HR = 0.75, 95% CI: 0.69-0.83), especially in HR+ tumors, with a weaker effect in HR- cases. OS also favored HER2-low (HR = 0.80, 95% CI: 0.72-0.89), mainly driven by the HR- subgroup; no OS difference was seen in HR+ tumors. Sensitivity analyses and funnel plots indicated robust results with no apparent publication bias. Overall study quality was high (17 high-quality, 11 moderate-quality).

HER2-low early breast cancer shows lower pCR after neoadjuvant therapy but better long-term survival. These findings support the clinical relevance of HER2-low as a biologically meaningful subgroup within HER2-negative disease, while its status as a stable and independent subtype still requires further validation through prospective studies, standardized testing, and multi-omics investigation.