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Competing-Risk Nomogram for Predicting Cancer-Specific Survival in Multiple Primary Colorectal Cancer Patients after Surgery
Published on: September 27, 2024
Development and Validation of a Predictive Nomogram for Diagnosing Colorectal Cancer Based on Immune-Nutritional
Xiaofan Liu1,2, Liuqun Shan3, Wei Liang1
1Department of Oncology, Nanjing First Hospital, Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, People's Republic of China.
A new diagnostic nomogram integrating multiple predictors shows high accuracy for early colorectal cancer (CRC) detection. This tool offers improved discrimination and calibration for clinical utility in CRC screening.
Area of Science:
- Oncology
- Medical Diagnostics
- Biomarkers
Background:
- Early diagnosis of colorectal cancer (CRC) is crucial for improving patient prognosis.
- Current clinical practice lacks simple and effective screening methods for CRC.
- Developing accurate and accessible diagnostic tools remains a significant challenge.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify independent diagnostic predictors for colorectal cancer (CRC).
- To develop and internally validate a diagnostic nomogram for CRC.
- To assess the clinical utility and predictive performance of the developed nomogram.
Main Methods:
- A retrospective study included patients with CRC, benign colorectal polyps (BCP), and healthy controls (HCs).
- Participants were divided into training and validation cohorts.
- Logistic regression analyses identified independent predictors, and a diagnostic nomogram was constructed and validated.
Main Results:
- Sex, hemoglobin (HB), CEA, CA19-9, CONUT score, and HALP score were identified as independent predictors of CRC.
- The diagnostic nomogram achieved a high area under the curve (AUC) of 0.896, significantly outperforming individual indicators.
- The nomogram demonstrated excellent calibration and good clinical utility.
Conclusions:
- A novel, internally validated diagnostic nomogram for CRC was developed.
- The nomogram integrates multiple independent predictors, offering superior diagnostic performance.
- This tool shows promise for improving CRC diagnosis and clinical decision-making.
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