Role of Skinfold Thickness and MUAC in Predicting Insulin Resistance: ROC And Regression Analysis

Neslihan Gürcan Kaya1, Yasemin Kinali Çetin2

  • 1Depatmament of Pediatric Gastroenterology, Ankara Training and Research Hospital, Ankara, Turkey.

Insights

Standardized skinfold thickness and mid-upper arm circumference measurements effectively predict insulin resistance in obese children. These non-invasive markers, particularly skinfold thickness SDS, offer superior early detection of metabolic risk compared to raw values.

Area of Science:

  • Pediatric Endocrinology
  • Metabolic Health
  • Anthropometry

Background:

  • Early detection of insulin resistance (IR) in children is crucial for preventing long-term metabolic complications.
  • While anthropometric measures like mid-upper arm circumference (MUAC) and skinfold thickness are used, their predictive value, especially when age-standardized, requires further evaluation.
  • This study addresses the need for reliable, non-invasive markers for IR in pediatric obesity.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the predictive performance of raw, SDS, and percentile measurements of MUAC and skinfold thickness for insulin resistance in pediatric patients with obesity.
  • To compare the effectiveness of standardized versus raw anthropometric measurements in identifying IR.
  • To identify optimal cutoffs for standardized measures for early IR detection.

Main Methods:

  • A cross-sectional study involving 171 obese children and adolescents (aged 6-18 years).
  • Collection of anthropometric measurements (MUAC, skinfold thickness) and conversion to SDS and percentile values.
  • Assessment of insulin resistance using HOMA-IR with pubertal-stage-adjusted cutoffs, analyzed via logistic regression and ROC analysis.

Main Results:

  • Insulin resistance was prevalent in 56.1% of the study cohort.
  • Standardized measures (SDS, percentiles) showed significantly stronger prediction of IR than raw measurements.
  • Skinfold thickness SDS (OR=12.04) and MUAC SDS (OR=7.28) were strong independent predictors of IR, with excellent discriminatory power (AUC=0.82 for skinfold SDS).

Conclusions:

  • Skinfold thickness SDS and MUAC SDS are effective, practical, and non-invasive predictors of insulin resistance in obese pediatric patients.
  • Standardized anthropometric measurements significantly outperform raw values for IR prediction.
  • Integrating skinfold thickness SDS and MUAC SDS into routine clinical assessments can enhance early detection of metabolic risk in children.
Abstract