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MNRS: Multi-Factor Network-Based Ranking Score for Detecting Critical Transitions of Complex Diseases Using Gut

Qiao Wei1, Dandan Ding2, Jiayuan Zhong3

  • 1School of Mathematics, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou, 510640, China.

Bulletin of Mathematical Biology
|June 8, 2026
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Detecting pre-disease states is crucial for preventing abrupt health declines. A new computational framework, multi-factor network-based ranking score (MNRS), effectively identifies early-warning gut microbiome signatures of critical transitions.

Keywords:
Complex diseaseComputational modelDynamic network biomarker (DNB)Gut microbiomePre-disease state

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Area of Science:

  • Microbiome research
  • Computational biology
  • Disease dynamics

Background:

  • Disease progression can be abrupt, with critical thresholds preceding deterioration.
  • Gut microbiome alterations are linked to diseases like type 1 diabetes, celiac disease, and colorectal cancer.
  • Existing transcriptome methods struggle with noisy, sparse, and compositional microbiome data.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop a novel computational framework for detecting pre-disease states using gut microbiome data.
  • To identify early-warning signatures of critical transitions in disease progression.
  • To overcome limitations of existing methods in analyzing complex microbiome data.

Main Methods:

  • Proposed a novel computational framework: multi-factor network-based ranking score (MNRS).
  • MNRS infers perturbed microbial networks and quantifies dynamic alterations in species/genus associations.
  • Applied MNRS to simulated and real-world gut microbiome datasets.

Main Results:

  • MNRS accurately identifies pre-disease states.
  • The framework outperforms existing methods in robustness and detection performance.
  • MNRS identified "dark species" potentially crucial in disease deterioration, missed by other analyses.

Conclusions:

  • MNRS provides a robust and effective computational tool for early detection of pre-disease states from gut microbiome data.
  • The framework's ability to detect subtle microbial network changes offers new insights into disease onset.
  • MNRS highlights the importance of previously overlooked microbial species in disease progression.