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Updated: Jun 10, 2026

Estimating Bilateral Atrial Function by Cardiovascular Magnetic Resonance Feature Tracking in Patients with Paroxysmal Atrial Fibrillation
Published on: July 20, 2022
Left atrium incisure curvature: an indicator for predicting atrial fibrillation-related cardioembolism
Jianli He1, Yuanyuan Wang2, Jun Hou3
1Department of Neurology, The Fourth Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, China.
Insights
Left atrial incisure curvature effectively predicts stroke and embolic events in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients. This imaging marker offers improved accuracy over existing risk scores for identifying high-thrombotic risk.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Medical Imaging
- Biomedical Engineering
Background:
- Current stroke risk scores for atrial fibrillation (AF) patients lack accuracy for individual risk prediction.
- Distinguishing high-thrombotic risk in AF patients is clinically challenging.
- Novel imaging biomarkers are needed to enhance stroke risk prediction in AF.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and validate a simple, effective method for predicting stroke and systemic embolic events in AF patients.
- To assess the utility of left atrial (LA) incisure curvature as a novel imaging biomarker for cardioembolic events.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of 169 AF patients categorized by AF type and cardioembolic events.
- Development of border detection and LA incisure curvature computation algorithms using chest CT images.
- Quantitative analysis of LA incisure curvature to correlate with cardioembolic event occurrence.
Main Results:
- LA incisure curvature demonstrated distinct values across groups with varying AF progression and cardioembolic events.
- The developed algorithm achieved 85.21% accuracy, 96% sensitivity, and 80.7% specificity in predicting cardioembolic events.
- Disappearance of LA incisure on CT imaging correlated with AF progression and cardioembolic events.
Conclusions:
- Left atrial incisure curvature is a promising imaging indicator for predicting AF-related strokes and systemic embolic events.
- This quantitative imaging marker may aid in identifying high-risk AF patients.
- Further multicenter validation is recommended to confirm these findings.
Background:
The use of supplementary parameters, such as clinical criteria, biomarkers, and imaging data, may enhance the risk prediction of stroke and systemic embolic events. Current stroke risk scores are clinically practical but limited in their ability to predict stroke risk accurately in individual patients. It is difficult for doctors to distinguish patients with truly high-thrombotic risk. In this study, we propose a simple and effective method for predicting stroke and systemic embolic events in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).
Methods:
In this retrospective study, 169 patients with AF were divided into three groups: Group A (those with paroxysmal AF with no cardioembolic events), Group B (those with persistent AF with no cardioembolic events), and Group C (those with persistent AF with cardioembolic events). By examining the chest CT images of all the included patients, we discovered that the left atrium (LA) incisure disappearing with the progression of AF, particularly in those with cardioembolic events (Group C). For the convenience of quantitative analysis, a border detection algorithm along with an LA incisure curvature computation algorithm was developed to predict cardioembolic events in patients with AF.
Results:
The results indicated that the average curve rates of LA incisure were - 2.6 (-3.55, -1.95) ×10- 3, -1.40 (-2.13, -0.43) ×10- 3, and 0.51 (0.02, 1.40) ×10- 3 for Groups A, B, and C, respectively. The accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity of the LA incisure curvature for predicting cardioembolic events were 85.21%, 96%, and 80.7%, respectively.
Conclusions:
LA incisure curvature is an effective indicator for predicting AF-related strokes and systemic embolic events, which should be confirmed through multicentre retrospective and prospective research in the future.
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