Early predictors of MR4.5 attainment and eligibility for TKI discontinuation in CML treated with second-generation

Takaaki Ono1, Takashi Okada2, Naoto Takahashi3

  • 1Department of Transfusion and Cell Therapy, Hamamatsu University School of Medicine, Hamamatsu, Japan.

Blood Advances
|June 11, 2026
PubMed

Insights

Predicting deep molecular response in chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) is key for tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) discontinuation. Early molecular response at 6 months using second-generation TKIs (2G-TKIs) effectively predicts MR4.5 attainment and TKI discontinuation eligibility.

Area of Science:

  • Hematology
  • Oncology
  • Clinical Pharmacology

Background:

  • Second-generation tyrosine kinase inhibitors (2G-TKIs) offer improved molecular responses compared to imatinib in chronic myeloid leukemia (CML).
  • Predictors for achieving and sustaining deep molecular response (MR4.5) and treatment discontinuation eligibility remain unclear for 2G-TKI therapy.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To identify predictors of MR4.5 attainment and TKI discontinuation eligibility (TDE) in CML patients receiving first-line 2G-TKI therapy.

Main Methods:

  • Analysis of 431 CML patients from the JALSG CML212 trial comparing nilotinib and dasatinib.
  • Assessment of baseline, 3-month, and 6-month BCR::ABL1 International Scale (IS) levels, IS-derived halving times, and EUTOS long-term survival (ELTS) score.
  • TDE defined as ≥3 years of TKI therapy with ≥2 consecutive years of sustained MR4.5.

Main Results:

  • Cumulative incidence of MR4.5 was 46.6% with a median follow-up of 3.0 years.
  • 36.3% of patients achieving MR4.5 met TDE criteria.
  • Independent predictors for MR4.5 attainment included halving time from 0-3 months (HT(0-3)) and 6-month IS. The 6-month IS was the sole predictor for TDE.

Conclusions:

  • Molecular response at 6 months post-TKI initiation is a crucial factor for early stratification of MR4.5 attainment and TDE in CML patients on 2G-TKIs.
  • Early molecular profiling aids in optimizing treatment strategies and assessing discontinuation potential.