Metabolomics-Enhanced Liquid Biopsy Identifies Early Heptocellular Injury in Females with MetALD

Steatotic liver disease (SLD) is characterised by profound metabolic reprogramming, yet no single biomarker reliably distinguishes disease entities, stages or sex-specific risk profiles. By integrating serum metabolomic signatures as a liquid biopsy with tumour-associated CSC marker profiles in a sex-stratified analytical framework, we aimed to identify biologically meaningful differences and improve strategies for early, presymptomatic detection of SLD progression and HCC. The present study focuses on a targeted panel of 12 strongly dysregulated serum metabolites as candidate biomarkers of disease progression, quantified by NMR-based metabolomics and ELISA and complemented by CSC marker staining. We combined these NMR-based metabolomic 'liquid biopsy' data with circulating tumour-associated biomarkers, MELD-based risk assessment and tissue-level CSC marker expression across MetALD, MASLD, immune-mediated and cancerogenic liver disease, HCC and healthy controls. Female MetALD patients showed the second highest mortality after HCC, with lower survival than male cancer patients, despite MELD 3.0 assigning ~50% higher scores in women. MetALD mortality clustered with GP73, CD44, metabolomics and AA/3HB ratio, indicating a distinct, high-risk female phenotype. Integrating liquid-based metabolomic profiling, AA/3HB redox assessment, CSC markers and MELD 3.0 into sex-sensitive diagnostic pathways may improve early detection and risk stratification of alcohol-associated SLD, especially in women.