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Clinical Outcomes and Applicability of Emergency Department Termination-of-Resuscitation Rules in Super-Elderly
Yongkeun Park1, Yujin Lee1, Jeseop Lee1
1Department of Emergency Medicine, Inha University Hospital, Inha University College of Medicine, Incheon 22212, Republic of Korea.
Insights
Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) in super-elderly patients (≥80 years) has a very poor prognosis. A multifactorial rule, not just age, is better for termination of resuscitation decisions.
Area of Science:
- Emergency Medicine
- Geriatrics
- Cardiology
Background:
- The global population is aging, leading to an increased incidence of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) in the very elderly (≥80 years).
- Assessing prognosis and guiding termination of resuscitation (TOR) decisions in this demographic presents unique challenges.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze the clinical characteristics and prognoses of elderly patients experiencing OHCA.
- To evaluate the effectiveness of age-based criteria versus multifactorial rules for TOR decisions in super-elderly patients.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of 1234 adult non-traumatic OHCA patients from three university hospitals (2015-2021).
- Patients categorized into non-elderly (<65), elderly (65-79), and super-elderly (≥80) groups.
- Analysis of return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC), survival to discharge, neurological outcomes, and calculation of W-/D-/R- rule performance metrics.
Main Results:
- Super-elderly patients (n=466) demonstrated significantly lower rates of ROSC, survival to discharge, and favorable neurological outcomes.
- Extreme old age was a strong negative predictor for favorable neurological outcomes.
- Survival rate in super-elderly was 2.4%, with favorable neurological outcomes in only 0.6%.
Conclusions:
- While prognosis for super-elderly OHCA patients is extremely poor, survival is not impossible.
- A multifactorial TOR rule considering witnessed status, initial rhythm, and prehospital ROSC is more rational than age alone.
- This approach aids ethical decision-making in emergency departments.
Abstract:
Introduction: The global aging population has led to a rapid increase in patients aged ≥ 80 years experiencing out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). This study used data from three domestic university hospitals to analyze the clinical characteristics and prognoses of elderly patients and evaluate the validity of age-based criteria for termination of resuscitation (TOR). Methods: This study included 1234 adult patients with nontraumatic OHCA who presented to the emergency departments of three hospitals between 2015 and 2021. The patients were categorized as non-elderly (<65 years), elderly (65-79 years), or super-elderly (≥80 years), and outcomes, including return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC), survival to discharge, and favorable neurological outcomes (Cerebral Performance Category 1-2), were analyzed. Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV) with Wilson 95% confidence intervals (CIs), and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the W-/D-/R- (unwitnessed/non-shockable/no prehospital ROSC) rule were calculated for both the full cohort and the super-elderly subgroup. Results: The super-elderly patients (n = 466) had significantly lower rates of ROSC, survival to discharge, and favorable neurological outcomes than the other age groups. Multivariate analysis revealed that extreme old age was a strong negative predictor of favorable neurological outcomes. For super-elderly patients as a whole (n = 466), the survival rate was only 2.4%, and the favorable neurological outcome rate was only 0.6%. Conclusions: Although the prognosis for super-elderly patients with OHCA is extremely poor, the possibility of survival is not entirely "zero." Therefore, applying a multifactorial ED TOR rule that comprehensively considers whether the arrest was witnessed, the initial rhythm, and whether on-scene ROSC occurred, rather than relying solely on age criteria, would be more rational and aid in ethical decision-making.
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