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Magnetocardiography Combined With the SYNTAX Score for Exploratory Modeling of Clinician-Selected Revascularization
Ziyu An1, Shipan Wang2, Min Zhang1
1Department of Cardiology, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, 100029, China, ccmu.edu.cn.
Insights
Magnetocardiography (MCG) parameters did not significantly improve risk prediction for three-vessel coronary artery disease (3V-CAD) revascularization decisions beyond the established SYNTAX score in this pilot study.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Medical Imaging
- Biomarkers
Background:
- Three-vessel coronary artery disease (3V-CAD) management involves revascularization via percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) or coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG).
- The SYNTAX score is a standard tool for anatomical risk stratification in 3V-CAD.
- The added value of magnetocardiography (MCG) beyond anatomical assessment for treatment decisions in 3V-CAD is not well-established.
Purpose of the Study:
- To explore if MCG-derived parameters offer incremental information over the SYNTAX score for predicting revascularization strategy in 3V-CAD.
- To investigate the association between model-treatment concordance and major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCEs).
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of prospective cohort data from 543 patients with 3V-CAD.
- Screening of MCG parameters using correlation, random forest, and logistic regression.
- Combination of selected MCG parameters with the SYNTAX score for predictive modeling.
- Evaluation of model discrimination, calibration, and validation using bootstrap and LASSO regression.
- Analysis of model-treatment concordance using Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression.
Main Results:
- The combined MCG-SYNTAX model showed no significant improvement in discrimination compared to the SYNTAX-only model (AUC 0.853 vs. 0.847).
- No significant incremental value was found in low-risk or intermediate-high-risk subgroups.
- Bootstrap validation and LASSO sensitivity analysis did not support the sustained incremental value of MCG parameters.
- An initial unadjusted association between concordance and MACCE-free survival was not retained after multivariable adjustment.
Conclusions:
- Selected MCG parameters demonstrated limited and unstable incremental value for predicting revascularization strategy in 3V-CAD when added to the SYNTAX score.
- Current findings do not support the clinical implementation of MCG for this purpose without external validation.
- Further research is needed to validate these exploratory findings in larger, independent cohorts.
Background:
Three-vessel coronary artery disease (3V-CAD) often requires revascularization with either percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) or coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG). The SYNTAX score is widely used for anatomical risk stratification, but whether magnetocardiography (MCG) provides incremental information beyond anatomical assessment remains uncertain.
Objectives:
To evaluate, in an exploratory pilot analysis, whether MCG-derived parameters add information beyond the SYNTAX score for modeling clinician-selected revascularization category in 3V-CAD and to examine the noncausal association between model-treatment concordance and major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events (MACCEs).
Methods:
Prospective cohort data were analyzed retrospectively. Candidate MCG parameters were screened using Pearson correlation, random forest analysis, and stepwise logistic regression, and selected variables were combined with the SYNTAX score. Model discrimination, calibration, bootstrap internal validation, and LASSO penalized logistic regression sensitivity analysis were assessed. Model-treatment concordance was explored using Kaplan-Meier analysis and multivariable Cox regression.
Results:
Among 544 patients, 543 complete cases were available for model evaluation, including 42 CABG events. In the overall cohort, the combined MCG-SYNTAX model did not materially improve discrimination compared with the SYNTAX-only model (AUC, 0.853 vs. 0.847; p = 0.628). Discrimination was also similar in the low-risk subgroup (SYNTAX < 22; AUC, 0.824 vs. 0.848; p = 0.540). In the intermediate-high-risk subgroup (SYNTAX ≥ 22), the combined model had a numerically higher apparent AUC, but this finding was considered hypothesis-generating. Bootstrap internal validation did not support a maintained incremental value of the combined model (optimism-corrected AUC, 0.834 vs. 0.848 for the SYNTAX-only model). In LASSO sensitivity analysis using all appended MCG-derived candidate variables, only the SYNTAX score was retained. The exploratory follow-up analysis showed an unadjusted difference in MACCE-free survival between concordance groups, but this association was not retained after multivariable adjustment and was not interpreted causally.
Conclusions:
In this single-center pilot modeling study, selected MCG parameters showed limited and unstable incremental value beyond the SYNTAX score for modeling clinician-selected revascularization category in 3V-CAD. These findings do not support clinical implementation at this stage and require external validation. Trial Registration: Chinese Clinical Trial Registry: ChiCTR2200066942.
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