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Improving maize LAI estimation by integrating multispectral imagery and digital surface models with ensemble learning
Wenfeng Li1, Shu Lou1, Jizhong He1
1Yunnan International Joint Laboratory of Smart Crop Production, Yunnan Agricultural University, Kunming, China.
Abstract:
To overcome the limitations of single remote-sensing features in estimating maize canopy leaf area index (LAI), this study developed a UAV-based estimation approach by integrating multispectral vegetation indices (VIs) with digital surface model (DSM) features and stacking ensemble learning. Field experiments were conducted in Dehong, Yunnan Province, China, during 2023-2024, and UAV multispectral images and DSM products were acquired for maize grown under three planting-density treatments. Five vegetation indices and three DSM-derived texture/structural features were retained according to their correlation with measured LAI, statistical significance, and complementary spectral or structural information. The VI-based random forest (VI-RF) model achieved an R2 of 0.835 and an NRMSE of 9.5%, whereas the DSM-based model showed lower performance (R2 = 0.641; NRMSE = 14.2%). Under the same random-forest modeling framework, fusing VIs with DSM features improved the overall model performance to R2 = 0.892 and NRMSE = 7.6%, indicating that DSM-derived structural information mainly enhanced the feature representation of maize LAI. Using the same VI-DSM feature set, the stacking model with support vector machine (SVM) as the meta-learner further improved the overall performance to R2= 0.930 and NRMSE = 6.3%. The additional gain from stacking was moderate but consistent, whereas feature fusion contributed the dominant improvement. The combined VI-DSM-Stacking workflow improved prediction stability across planting densities, especially under low- and high-density canopy conditions where soil background interference and spectral saturation were more evident. These results demonstrate that integrating spectral and DSM-derived structural information with stacking ensemble learning can improve the accuracy and robustness of UAV-based maize LAI estimation.