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Disability Risk for Male Professional Soccer Players: A Question of Age? A New Method Based on Transfermarkt®'s
Journal of Insurance Medicine (New York, N.Y.)
|June 17, 2026
Summary
Soccer clubs face financial risks from player injuries. A new model uses injury history and player position to predict downtime and improve prevention strategies for soccer players.
Area of Science:
- Sports Medicine
- Sports Economics
- Data Science
Background:
- Soccer generates billions, with player wages being a major expense.
- Player injuries cause significant financial losses due to unavailability.
- Injury prevention is critical for mitigating financial and sports risks in soccer.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop an accurate method for estimating injury incidence in male soccer players.
- To identify key risk factors beyond age for soccer injuries.
- To provide a framework for quantifying disability risk and refining prevention strategies.
Main Methods:
- Utilized the Transfermarkt® database to collect player data.
- Developed a model to estimate injury incidence.
- Analyzed risk factors including injury history and player position.
Main Results:
- Identified injury history and player position as crucial risk factors.
- Established a practical framework for risk assessment.
- Improved prediction of injury-related downtime.
Conclusions:
- Medical teams should consider injury history and player position for prevention.
- The model aids insurers, reinsurers, and clubs in quantifying disability risk.
- Enhanced prediction and prevention strategies can reduce financial exposure in soccer.
