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Applications of Structural Expert Elicitations for Economic Evaluations: A Systematic Review Update.
Benjamin P Geisler1, Fredrik Holmboe2, Irene Starinieri3,4
1Department of Health Management and Health Economics, University in Oslo, Postboks 1089 Blindern, 0317, Oslo, Norway. b.p.geisler@medisin.uio.no.
Structured expert elicitation (SEE) is crucial for health economics, but methods vary widely. Future research should standardize best practices and mitigate bias for more credible expert-informed evaluations.
Area of Science:
- Health Economics
- Health Technology Assessment
- Decision Science
Background:
- Structured expert elicitation (SEE) is increasingly vital for health technology assessment and economic evaluations.
- This study synthesizes recent developments in SEE applications within health economics over the past eight years.
Purpose of the Study:
- To systematically review and synthesize recent advancements in structured expert elicitation (SEE) applications in health economics.
- To identify commonalities, gaps, and best practices in expert selection, elicitation methods, and analytical techniques.
Main Methods:
- Systematic literature search of Medline and Embase (April 2017–February 2026) supplemented by snowball sampling.
- Data extraction and synthesis focused on expert recruitment, elicitation techniques, and data aggregation methods.
- Analysis of 28 studies applying SEE in diverse health economic evaluations.
Main Results:
- SEE applications spanned various health interventions, including rare diseases and diagnostic accuracy.
- Expert numbers ranged from 1 to 18 clinicians; elicitation processes were diverse, from paper-based to software-assisted.
- Most studies (75%) incorporated expert data into decision models, primarily using mathematical aggregation.
Conclusions:
- SEE methods show considerable variation, indicating a need for standardized best practices.
- SEE is recognized for informing decisions with scarce data, especially for rare diseases and early-stage technologies.
- Future research should focus on standardization, validation against empirical data, and bias mitigation strategies.
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