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Identifying predictive hematological biomarkers for radiation exposure by machine learning in mouse models.
Hang Chang1,2, Yiyan Yao3, Jared DeChant4
1Biological Systems and Engineering Division, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, 1 Cyclotron Rd, Berkeley, CA, USA. hchang@lbl.gov.
Communications Medicine
|June 19, 2026
Summary
This study developed a Sparse Complete Blood Count (CBC) model to rapidly assess radiation exposure. The model shows promise for biodosimetry, though its accuracy varies with genetic background.
Area of Science:
- Radiation biology
- Computational biology
- Biomedical engineering
Background:
- Population-scale radiation exposure assessment is crucial for radiological emergencies but limited by slow, costly methods.
- Rapid and affordable screening tools are needed for biodosimetry, especially for low-dose exposures and delayed assessments.
- Inter-individual differences in radiation sensitivity complicate accurate exposure estimation.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and validate a predictive model for radiation exposure using complete blood count (CBC) data.
- To identify key CBC parameters for estimating radiation dose across different time points and genetic backgrounds.
- To assess the model's performance in diverse mouse populations, including genetically varied strains.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of CBC profiles from over 1151 mice exposed to varying X-ray doses (0.05-4 Gy).
- Development of a Sparse CBC model using sparse representation learning to identify informative CBC parameters.
- Validation through exhaustive cross-validation, a prospective cohort (431 animals), and a genetically diverse Collaborative Cross (CC) cohort (1720 animals).
Main Results:
- The Sparse CBC model demonstrated good performance (AUC, accuracy, sensitivity >80%) in retrospective and prospective cohorts.
- Model performance was modest in the genetically diverse CC cohort, with significant variation across different CC strains.
- Host genetic background was identified as a significant factor influencing the predictive accuracy of the radiation exposure model.
Conclusions:
- The Sparse CBC model effectively utilizes CBC data for radiation exposure estimation across various mouse cohorts, including genetically diverse populations.
- CBC-based biodosimetry offers a complementary tool for radiation exposure assessment.
- Genetic background significantly impacts the performance of CBC-based radiation exposure prediction models.
