Computed Tomography-based Body Composition Assessment for Preoperative Cardiovascular Risk Prediction: A Prospective

Bing-Cheng Zhao1, Jing Zhang2, Shao-Hui Lei3

  • 1Bing-Cheng Zhao, M.D.: Department of Anesthesiology, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China; Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Precision Anesthesia and Perioperative Organ Protection, Guangzhou, China; Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Cardiac Function and Microcirculation, Guangzhou, China; O utcomes R esearch Consortium, Houston, Texas.

Anesthesiology
|June 22, 2026
PubMed

Insights

CT-derived body composition metrics, including skeletal muscle area and fat radiodensity, significantly improve prediction of postoperative cardiovascular events. These novel markers offer enhanced risk assessment beyond traditional clinical predictors for surgical patients.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Radiology
  • Surgical Risk Assessment

Background:

  • Current preoperative cardiovascular risk prediction methods are insufficient.
  • CT-derived body composition offers potential objective cardiometabolic health markers.
  • The predictive value of these metrics for postoperative cardiovascular events is not well-established.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the predictive value of CT-derived body composition metrics for postoperative cardiovascular events.
  • To determine if body composition metrics improve risk prediction beyond established clinical guidelines.

Main Methods:

  • Prospective, multicenter study (PREVENGE-CB cohort) including patients undergoing major noncardiac surgery.
  • Preoperative CT scans analyzed for skeletal muscle and adipose tissue area and radiodensity.
  • Logistic regression used to assess added predictive value of body composition metrics over clinical predictors.

Main Results:

  • 1594 patients included; 13.2% experienced primary outcome (30-day cardiovascular events).
  • Skeletal muscle area and adipose area associated with lower risk; adipose radiodensity and muscle radiodensity associated with higher risk.
  • An optimal subset of three metrics (skeletal muscle area, muscle radiodensity, subcutaneous fat radiodensity) significantly improved prediction over existing risk indices in validation cohorts.

Conclusions:

  • CT-derived body composition metrics enhance the prediction of postoperative cardiovascular events.
  • These metrics provide valuable information beyond conventional clinical predictors.
  • Body composition analysis via CT may refine risk stratification for patients undergoing surgery.
Abstract

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