Global Renewable Energy Infrastructure Resilience Under Climate Risks

Accelerating global climate risks increasingly threaten renewable energy infrastructure (REI). However, little evidence on heterogeneous impacts of climate risks on REI across countries, the moderating role of REI resilience, and post-disaster recovery patterns is available, despite their critical importance for guiding resilient energy transitions and informing disaster risk governance. To address these issues, we employed dynamic panel models in 215 countries and regions from 2004 to 2022. We find that (1) climate risk significantly damages global REI, with disaster frequency and institutional resilience having mitigation effects. (2) The damage follows an inverted U-shape with increasing disaster frequency and an "N" shape with increasing disaster duration. As renewable energy generation share increases, the damage intensifies and progresses through four increasingly severe stages. (3) Economic resilience exhibits a "Creative destruction" effect in developed nations and a "Build back better" recovery in poor countries. (4) Although social resilience worsens climate disaster damage globally, high disaster frequency and institutional resilience can facilitate a "Recovery to trend" in socially advanced nations. (5) REI in South America is the most affected, followed by Asia and Africa, whereas Europe is the least impacted. Wind energy is the most vulnerable, followed by bioenergy, solar, and hydropower.