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Patient-derived Orthotopic Xenograft Models for Human Urothelial Cell Carcinoma and Colorectal Cancer Tumor Growth and Spontaneous Metastasis
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A Mathematical Model to Predict Growth and Treatment for UPS Cancer.

Sumit Roy1

  • 1Stat-Math Unit, Indian Statistical Institute, 203 B.T. Road, 700 108, Kolkata, India. sumitroy_r@isical.ac.in.

Bulletin of Mathematical Biology
|June 23, 2026
PubMed
Summary

This study introduces a mathematical model for Undifferentiated Pleomorphic Sarcoma (UPS) growth and treatment. The model reveals that tumor recurrence depends on multiple factors including residual disease, immune response, and treatment timing.

Keywords:
Hybrid SystemsMathematical OncologyOptimal ControlSurgery ModelingTumor-Immune DynamicsUndifferentiated Pleomorphic Sarcoma (UPS)

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Area of Science:

  • Mathematical Oncology
  • Computational Biology
  • Differential Equations

Background:

  • Undifferentiated Pleomorphic Sarcoma (UPS) is an aggressive soft tissue sarcoma.
  • Understanding the dynamics of UPS growth and response to treatment is crucial for improving patient outcomes.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop a comprehensive mathematical model for UPS growth and treatment.
  • To analyze the model's properties and identify key factors influencing tumor behavior and recurrence.

Main Methods:

  • A system of nonlinear differential equations was formulated to simulate UPS.
  • The model incorporates tumor growth, necrosis, surgical resection, postoperative recovery, immune interaction, and radiation therapy.
  • Optimal control theory was applied to radiation treatment scheduling.

Main Results:

  • A critical threshold for tumor survival was identified.
  • The model predicts an inflammatory and proliferative phase during postoperative recovery.
  • Tumor-immune subsystem equilibrium states and stability were determined.
  • An optimal "bang-bang" radiation strategy was found.

Conclusions:

  • Tumor recurrence in UPS is multifactorial, influenced by residual disease, immune status, and treatment timing.
  • The mathematical model provides insights into UPS dynamics and treatment optimization.
  • Further research can refine the model for clinical application.