Explainable machine learning for patient-specific quality assurance in intensity-modulated radiotherapy based on
Xuerou Zhang1, Ying Huang2, Jie Wang3
1School of Health Science and Engineering, University of Shanghai for Science and Technology, Shanghai, China.
Journal of Applied Clinical Medical Physics
|June 24, 2026
Summary
This study developed an interpretable machine learning (ML) framework to predict gamma passing rates (GPRs) in intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) using anatomical features. The ML model accurately predicts GPRs, enhancing understanding of dose verification variability.
Area of Science:
- Medical Physics
- Radiotherapy
- Machine Learning
Background:
- Patient-specific quality assurance (PSQA) is crucial for accurate intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) dose delivery.
- Conventional PSQA methods are labor-intensive and offer limited insights into gamma passing rate (GPR) variations.
- Anatomical features of planning target volumes (PTVs) and organs at risk (OARs) may predict GPR performance but remain underexplored in interpretable ML.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop an interpretable machine learning (ML) framework for predicting IMRT GPRs.
- Utilize anatomical features from PTVs and OARs as predictors.
- Enhance understanding of factors influencing dose verification accuracy.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of 243 chest IMRT plans.
- Extraction of radiomic and dosimetric features from PTVs and OARs.
- Development of Random Forest and XGBoost models to predict GPRs under various gamma criteria (e.g., 3%/3 mm).
- Utilized Monte Carlo dose calculations for reference GPRs and SHAP for model interpretability.
Main Results:
- Both ML models demonstrated robust GPR prediction performance across structures and gamma criteria.
- Prediction errors decreased with less stringent gamma criteria.
- OARs showed higher prediction accuracy (e.g., heart MAE 0.06% at 3%/3 mm) compared to PTVs (e.g., MAE 1.98% at 3%/3 mm).
- SHAP analysis identified texture-based radiomic features as key predictors, with importance varying by organ and criterion.
Conclusions:
- Anatomical features can reliably predict IMRT GPRs using interpretable ML.
- The framework provides accurate predictions and mechanistic insights via SHAP.
- Offers a practical, transparent tool for improving IMRT PSQA and understanding dose verification variability.


