Real-World Outcomes of CDK4/6 Inhibitors in Germline BRCA1/2-Mutated Hormone Receptor-Positive, HER2-Negative
Mustafa Seyyar1, Ali Kalem2, Mürsel Sali3
1Department of Medical Oncology, Gaziantep City Hospital, Gaziantep 27470, Türkiye.
Abstract:
Germline BRCA1/2-mutated (gBRCAm) hormone receptor-positive/HER2-negative (HR+/HER2-) metastatic breast cancer (MBC) is a biologically distinct subset in which the efficacy of cyclin-dependent kinase 4/6 (CDK4/6) inhibitors remains incompletely characterized. We evaluated real-world outcomes and prognostic factors in a multicenter retrospective Turkish cohort treated with a CDK4/6 inhibitor plus endocrine therapy (June 2020-September 2025). Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were estimated using Kaplan-Meier and Cox methods. Among 121 patients, 30 (24.8%) had BRCA1, 88 (72.7%) had BRCA2, and three (2.5%) had dual mutations; 66.9% received first-line therapy, with ribociclib in 69.4% and palbociclib in 29.8%. Objective response rate was 69.4% and the clinical benefit rate was 82.6%. Median PFS was 17.0 months and OS 47.0 months. PFS was numerically longer in BRCA1 than in BRCA2 carriers (25.0 vs. 14.0 months), although the difference was not statistically significant in the pairwise comparison (HR 1.50, 95% CI 0.88-2.56; log-rank p = 0.135); the dual BRCA1/2 subgroup (n = 3) had the poorest outcomes and was assessed descriptively. OS did not differ significantly between BRCA1 and BRCA2 carriers (57.0 vs. 49.0 months; log-rank p = 0.520). PFS did not differ between ribociclib and palbociclib (p = 0.192); OS favored ribociclib at borderline significance (p = 0.050), but this was not confirmed in Cox regression. In multivariable analysis, ECOG ≥ 1 (HR 1.85; p = 0.010) and fulvestrant-based therapy (HR 1.74; p = 0.041) predicted shorter PFS; fulvestrant also predicted worse OS (HR 2.39; p = 0.008). CDK4/6 inhibitor-based therapy shows meaningful activity in gBRCAm HR+/HER2- MBC; the numerically poorer outcomes observed in BRCA2 carriers are hypothesis-generating and warrant validation in larger cohorts.
Insights
Cyclin-dependent kinase 4/6 (CDK4/6) inhibitors show efficacy in germline BRCA1/2-mutated (gBRCAm) hormone receptor-positive/HER2-negative (HR+/HER2-) metastatic breast cancer (MBC). Real-world data suggest potential differences between BRCA1 and BRCA2 carriers, warranting further investigation.
Area of Science:
- Oncology
- Genetics
- Pharmacology
Background:
- Germline BRCA1/2-mutated (gBRCAm) hormone receptor-positive/HER2-negative (HR+/HER2-) metastatic breast cancer (MBC) represents a distinct subtype.
- The effectiveness of cyclin-dependent kinase 4/6 (CDK4/6) inhibitors in this specific patient population is not fully understood.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate real-world outcomes in patients with gBRCAm HR+/HER2- MBC treated with CDK4/6 inhibitors plus endocrine therapy.
- To identify prognostic factors influencing treatment efficacy in this cohort.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of a multicenter Turkish cohort (n=121) treated between June 2020 and September 2025.
- Progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) were estimated using Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression models.
- Patients received either ribociclib or palbociclib in combination with endocrine therapy.
Main Results:
- Objective response rate was 69.4%, and clinical benefit rate was 82.6%.
- Median PFS was 17.0 months and median OS was 47.0 months.
- While PFS was numerically longer in BRCA1 carriers (25.0 months) versus BRCA2 carriers (14.0 months), this difference was not statistically significant. Fulvestrant-based therapy and ECOG performance status ≥ 1 were associated with shorter PFS and OS.
Conclusions:
- CDK4/6 inhibitor-based therapy demonstrates significant activity in gBRCAm HR+/HER2- MBC.
- The observed trend of poorer outcomes in BRCA2 carriers requires further investigation in larger studies.
- Prognostic factors like ECOG status and choice of endocrine therapy (fulvestrant) impact survival outcomes.
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