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Identifying Risk Groups in 401,846 Osteoarthritis Patients Undergoing Total Hip Arthroplasty: A Machine Learning
Alishah Ahmadi1, Anthony J Kaywood1, Areeb Ansari2
1School of Medicine, New York Medical College, Valhalla, NY 10595, USA.
Machine learning identified five distinct comorbidity profiles in osteoarthritis patients undergoing total hip arthroplasty. Higher comorbidity burdens significantly increased the risk of non-routine discharge and prolonged hospital stays.
Area of Science:
- Orthopedics
- Health Informatics
- Data Science
Background:
- Osteoarthritis (OA) is a leading cause for total hip arthroplasty (THA).
- Patient outcomes and resource utilization after THA are highly variable due to diverse comorbidity profiles.
- Understanding these profiles is crucial for optimizing patient care and hospital resource allocation.
Purpose of the Study:
- To apply unsupervised machine learning to identify distinct comorbidity clusters in OA patients undergoing THA.
- To investigate the association between identified comorbidity clusters and non-routine discharge (NRD) and length of stay (LOS).
Main Methods:
- Utilized the 2015-2021 National Inpatient Sample database.
- Included 401,846 patients with OA undergoing THA.
- Employed k-modes clustering with 49 comorbidities and clinical covariates, validated by Davies-Bouldin and Calinski-Harabasz indices.
- Assessed NRD using multivariable logistic regression and LOS using Kruskal-Wallis H testing.
Main Results:
- Identified five distinct patient clusters based on comorbidity profiles.
- Clusters with higher comorbidity burdens (e.g., renal dysfunction, cardiovascular disease, anemia, heart failure) showed significantly higher odds of NRD (up to 3.01, p < 0.001) and prolonged LOS (median up to 4 days).
- Lower-risk clusters had shorter hospitalizations (median LOS of 2 days) and higher rates of routine discharge.
Conclusions:
- Machine learning effectively delineated clinically meaningful subgroups within the OA THA population.
- Comorbidity burden is a significant determinant of postoperative outcomes, including NRD and LOS.
- This data-driven approach can enhance perioperative risk stratification and inform resource planning for THA patients.
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