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Updated: Jun 27, 2026

08:50
Predictive Immune Modeling of Solid Tumors
Published on: February 25, 2020
Immunosuppressive Tumor Microenvironment Signatures Predict Early Progression in NSCLC Patients Receiving Immune
Hilmi Kodaz1, Çağnur Elpen Kodaz2, Gökhan Öztürk3
1Department of Medical Oncology, Acıbadem Eskişehir Hospital, 26130 Eskişehir, Türkiye.
Medicina (Kaunas, Lithuania)
|June 26, 2026
Summary
Early progression in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) is linked to immunosuppressive pathways and T cell dysfunction. An 87-gene risk score shows significant correlation with progression-free survival.
Area of Science:
- Oncology
- Immunology
- Transcriptomics
Background:
- Early progression (PFS < 90 days) in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients receiving immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) is a significant clinical challenge.
- Predictive biomarkers for ICI response are sought, but transcriptomic and immune microenvironment features driving early progression are not well understood.
Purpose of the Study:
- To characterize transcriptomic and immune microenvironment signatures associated with early progression in NSCLC patients treated with anti-PD-1/PD-L1 therapy.
- To develop and evaluate an immunosuppressive risk score for predicting progression-free survival (PFS).
Main Methods:
- RNA-sequencing data from 27 NSCLC patients (17 early progression, 10 clinical benefit) treated with anti-PD-1/PD-L1 therapy were analyzed.
- Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (GSEA) was performed using Hallmark and C7 ImmuneSigDB gene sets.
- An 87-gene immunosuppressive risk score was derived from TGF-β, WNT/β-catenin, and EMT pathway genes.
Main Results:
- GSEA identified enriched immunosuppressive (TGF-β, WNT/β-catenin) and oncogenic (MYC, E2F, G2M) pathways in early progressors.
- Immune signatures associated with CD8 T cell dysfunction, Treg activation, and M2 macrophage polarization were enriched.
- The 87-gene immunosuppressive risk score significantly correlated negatively with PFS (Spearman ρ = -0.516, p = 0.006).
Conclusions:
- Early progression in NSCLC patients on ICI therapy is associated with co-activation of immunosuppressive, oncogenic, and T cell dysfunction pathways.
- The 87-gene immunosuppressive risk score is a promising exploratory biomarker for predicting PFS in this patient population.
- Prospective validation in independent cohorts is warranted due to the small sample size and exploratory nature of the findings.
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