Degradation Assessment of Poplar Shelterbelts in the Kubuqi Desert Using an Entropy Weight-TOPSIS-RSR Model

Artificial shelterbelts in arid and semi-arid regions play a key role in controlling land degradation, regulating wind erosion, and maintaining ecological security. However, their long-term protective effectiveness increasingly depends on accurate degradation diagnosis and targeted management of aging and degraded stands. This study developed a comprehensive health assessment and degradation grading framework for poplar shelterbelts in the Kubuqi Desert, northern China, using an indicator system covering stand structure, community structure, soil conditions, health risks, and external disturbances. Indicator weights were determined using the entropy weight method, and degradation grades were classified by combining the technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS) model with the rank-sum ratio (RSR)-Probit method. The results showed that soil conditions and stand structure were the dominant dimensions distinguishing degradation status, with weights of 50.98% and 25.30%, respectively. Grade I, Grade II, Grade III, and Grade IV stands accounted for 21.88%, 25.00%, 34.38%, and 18.75% of the plots, respectively, indicating that lightly and moderately degraded stands were predominant. Degradation grades were also associated with changes in understory cover and surface soil nutrients, especially decreases in soil organic matter and alkali-hydrolyzable nitrogen. Based on these results, grade-specific management strategies were proposed, including conservation and maintenance, density regulation, assisted restoration, and near-natural transformation. This framework provides a practical basis for diagnosing degradation status and guiding the renewal and management of aging shelterbelts in arid sandy regions.