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Uncertainty-aware deep kernel learning: An end-to-end approach for crack localization in turbine blades
Halit Bakır1, Ufuk Demircioğlu1, A H Abdul Hafez2
1Faculty of Engineering and Natural Sciences, Sivas University of Science and Technology, Sivas, Turkey.
Scientific Reports
|June 26, 2026
Summary
An uncertainty-aware Deep Kernel Learning (DKL) framework accurately locates cracks in jet turbine blades using modal frequency data. This DKL model balances predictive performance with reliable uncertainty estimates for structural health monitoring.
Area of Science:
- Aerospace Engineering
- Mechanical Engineering
- Machine Learning
Background:
- Early crack detection in jet turbine blades is crucial for aerospace structural health monitoring.
- Modal frequency data offers a promising avenue for non-destructive crack localization.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and evaluate an uncertainty-aware Deep Kernel Learning (DKL) framework for crack localization in jet turbine blades.
- To assess the DKL model's performance and uncertainty estimation capabilities under various noise and data shift conditions.
Main Methods:
- An end-to-end DKL framework integrating a deep residual feature extractor with a Sparse Variational Gaussian Process (SVGP) model was employed.
- A finite element simulation dataset with 901 samples was generated, varying crack positions and extracting modal frequencies.
- Robustness was tested against Gaussian noise, synthetic dataset shifts, and realistic non-uniform stochastic perturbations.
Main Results:
- All models showed high accuracy on clean data; however, under stochastic perturbations, Deep Ensemble yielded the lowest prediction error.
- The proposed DKL model demonstrated competitive accuracy while providing more conservative and stable uncertainty estimates compared to other methods.
- The DKL framework offers a balanced trade-off between predictive accuracy and uncertainty awareness.
Conclusions:
- The uncertainty-aware DKL framework shows potential for reliable crack localization in turbine blades.
- The model's ability to provide stable uncertainty estimates is valuable for structural health monitoring applications.
- Further validation with real-world sensor data is necessary to confirm practical applicability.
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