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Plasma Atherogenic Index Predicts Malignant Arrhythmias in Non-STElevation Myocardial Infarction
Alperen Taş1, Muhammet Salih Ateş1, Çağatay Tunca1
1Department of Cardiology, Ahi Evran University Training and Research Hospital, Kırşehir, Türkiye.
Insights
The plasma atherogenic index independently predicts malignant ventricular arrhythmias and short-term mortality in patients with non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction. This simple lipid marker can improve risk stratification for high-risk individuals.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Biochemistry
- Clinical Medicine
Background:
- Malignant ventricular arrhythmias are significant complications of non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI).
- The plasma atherogenic index (PAI), calculated from triglycerides and HDL cholesterol, reflects atherogenic dyslipidemia but its predictive role in NSTEMI arrhythmias is not well-established.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate whether the plasma atherogenic index independently predicts malignant ventricular arrhythmias in patients diagnosed with non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of 502 NSTEMI patients (January 2024 - January 2025).
- Patients were stratified by arrhythmia occurrence and PAI tertiles.
- Logistic and Cox regression models were used to identify independent predictors of arrhythmias and mortality, respectively. ROC and Kaplan-Meier analyses assessed performance and survival.
Main Results:
- Malignant ventricular arrhythmias were observed in 9.4% of patients, with significantly higher PAI values compared to those without arrhythmias (0.48 ± 0.35 vs. 0.21 ± 0.29, P < .001).
- Multivariable analysis identified PAI as an independent predictor of both arrhythmias and short-term mortality (HR 1.342, P = .006).
- PAI demonstrated the highest discriminative value for arrhythmias (AUC 0.721) and mortality (AUC 0.709) with a cut-off of 0.32.
Conclusions:
- An elevated plasma atherogenic index is an independent predictor of malignant arrhythmias and short-term mortality in NSTEMI patients.
- As an accessible lipid marker, PAI may enhance risk stratification in high-risk NSTEMI populations.
Background:
Malignant ventricular arrhythmias are serious complications of non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction. The plasma atherogenic index, derived from triglyceride and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, reflects atherogenic dyslipidemia. Its role in predicting malignant arrhythmias is unclear. The primary aim of this study was to determine whether the plasma atherogenic index independently predicts malignant ventricular arrhythmias in patients with non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction.
Methods:
A total of 502 patients with non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction admitted between January 2024 and January 2025 were retrospectively analyzed. Patients were grouped by arrhythmia occurrence and tertiles of the plasma atherogenic index. Logistic regression identified predictors of arrhythmias. Cox regression identified predictors of malignant arrhythmias. Receiver operating characteristic analysis assessed discriminative performance, and Kaplan-Meier analysis evaluated survival.
Results:
Malignant ventricular arrhythmias occurred in 47 patients (9.4%). They had significantly higher plasma atherogenic index values (0.48 Å} 0.35 vs. 0.21 Å} 0.29, P < .001). In multivariable analysis, multivessel disease, neutrophil, troponin T, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, reduced ejection fraction, and the plasma atherogenic index independently predicted arrhythmias. For mortality, no-reflow, troponin T, malignant arrhythmia, and the plasma atherogenic index (hazard ratio 1.342, 95% confidence interval 1.211-1.487, P = .006) were independent predictors. The plasma atherogenic index had the highest discriminative value (area under the curve 0.721 for arrhythmias; 0.709 for mortality) with a cut-off of 0.32 (sensitivity 68%, specificity 68%). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed lower survival in the highest tertile.
Conclusion:
Elevated plasma atherogenic index independently predicts malignant arrhythmias and shortterm mortality in non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction. As a simple, widely available lipid marker, it may improve risk stratification in high-risk patients. Cite this article as: Taş A, Ateş MS, Tunca .. Plasma atherogenic index predicts malignant arrhythmias in non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction. Eurasian J Med. 2026, 58(3), 1315, doi: 10.5152/eurasianjmed.2026.251315.
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