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Updated: Jun 30, 2026

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Published on: June 30, 2020
Violating statistical structure impairs detection of deviant and incidental events.
Emma K Ward1,2,3, Nick Simpson1,2,3, Clare Press1,2,3
1Department of Experimental Psychology, UCL, 26 Bedford Way, London WC1H 0AP, UK.
Perception is biased toward expected stimuli. Unexpected events trigger sensory gain increases, but disrupt performance, requiring adaptation for accurate environmental model updating.
Area of Science:
- Cognitive psychology
- Computational neuroscience
- Visual perception
Background:
- The brain learns statistical regularities in the environment to shape perception.
- A theory proposes percepts are biased toward expectations, with unexpected events increasing sensory gain.
- This mechanism balances accurate perception with reliable sensory estimates for updating internal models.
Purpose of the Study:
- To test the theory that perception is biased toward expected stimuli.
- To investigate how unexpected events impact performance and sensory gain.
- To understand how the brain updates its models when environmental statistical structures change.
Main Methods:
- Six experiments involved participants detecting visual stimuli.
- Stimuli were presented at the center or circumference of a circle.
- Bayesian changepoint modeling analyzed performance after disruptions in learned spatial or orientation regularities.
Main Results:
- Hit rates decreased for stimuli following a disruption of learned regularities (surprise).
- Performance recovery after a single change took multiple trials.
- Recovery became immediate when changes occurred more frequently, suggesting perceptual facilitation of the expected.
Conclusions:
- Perceptual systems broadly facilitate the expected, irrespective of stimulus latency.
- The study highlights a trade-off between perception and model updating when the environment changes.
- Further research is needed to understand how accurate environmental models are updated despite perception biases.
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