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Spatial Epidemiology of the Ischemic Heart Disease-Asthma Comorbidity: A Global Analysis of Burden Patterns, Risk
Sha Fan1, Lu Wang1, Shufen Zhang2
1Department of Respiratory Medicine, Heji Hospital Affiliated to Changzhi Medical College, Changzhi, Shanxi, 046000, People's Republic of China.
Insights
Global patterns of ischemic heart disease (IHD) and asthma comorbidity show significant spatial variation, particularly in Asia and Africa. Key risk factors include omega-6 fatty acid and iron deficiencies, highlighting the need for integrated health strategies.
Area of Science:
- Global Health Epidemiology
- Cardiopulmonary Disease Research
- Environmental Health Science
Background:
- Ischemic heart disease (IHD) and asthma are significant global health burdens.
- The geographical distribution and drivers of IHD-asthma comorbidity are not well understood.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze the global spatial distribution of IHD-asthma comorbidity.
- To identify macro-level risk factors driving this comorbid pattern.
Main Methods:
- Secondary analysis of Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 data for 204 countries.
- Categorization into "concordant", "IHD-dominant", and "asthma-dominant" patterns based on disability-adjusted life years (DALYs).
- Risk factor identification using random forest, Shapley additive explanations, and negative binomial regression.
Main Results:
- One-quarter of countries show a "concordant pattern", mainly in Asia, Africa, and Oceania.
- Thirteen significant risk factors identified; omega-6 polyunsaturated fatty acid and iron deficiencies are common to both.
- 43.08% of IHD DALYs and 28.96% of asthma DALYs are attributable to combined risk factors.
Conclusions:
- Global IHD-asthma burden is spatially heterogeneous, with high impact in low-resource regions of Africa and Asia.
- Comprehensive strategies including nutrition, environmental improvements, and metabolic control are essential.
- Addressing these comorbidities requires integrated interventions for public health improvement.
Background:
Although ischemic heart disease (IHD) and asthma are major contributors to the global disease burden, the geographical distribution patterns of their comorbidity and its macro-level drivers remain unclear. This study aims to analyze the global spatial distribution of IHD-asthma comorbidity and to identify the key risk factors driving this comorbid pattern.
Methods:
Based on a secondary analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021, this study categorized 204 countries and territories worldwide into three spatial patterns-namely "concordant type", "IHD-dominant type", and "asthma-dominant type"-using the quartile method of disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). A three-stage screening approach was employed to identify significant risk factors: random forest modeling combined with Shapley additive explanations was first used to rank and select candidate variables, followed by negative binomial regression analysis to confirm significant associations. Furthermore, population attributable fraction and a composite risk index were constructed to quantify cumulative exposure levels.
Results:
Approximately one-quarter of countries worldwide exhibit a "concordant pattern" of disease burden levels, primarily located in Asia, Africa, and Oceania. Thirteen significant risk factors were identified, with deficiency in omega-6 polyunsaturated fatty acids and iron deficiency being common risk factors for both diseases. Overall, 43.083% of IHD DALYs and 28.963% of asthma DALYs were attributable to the combined exposure to their respective risk factors.
Conclusion:
The global joint burden of IHD and asthma exhibits substantial spatial heterogeneity, with particularly severe challenges in socioeconomically resource-limited regions of Africa and Asia. Comprehensive strategies integrating nutritional interventions, environmental improvements, and metabolic risk control are crucial for mitigating the global burden of cardiopulmonary comorbidities.
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