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Modeling Probiotic-associated Growth Dynamics in Juvenile Red Drum
Ione Hunt von Herbing1, Wren Busby1, Brook G Milligan2
1Department of Biological Sciences, Marine Conservation and Aquatic Physiology Laboratory (MCAPL), University of North Texas, Denton, TX 76203, USA.
Probiotic supplementation in aquaculture improves fish growth, but timing matters. A Bayesian growth model revealed that continuous probiotic use (56-day exposure) sustained better growth rates in red drum compared to short-term use (28-day exposure).
Area of Science:
- Aquaculture
- Fish nutrition
- Microbiology
Background:
- Probiotic use in aquaculture is growing for enhanced fish performance.
- Standard statistical methods may not fully capture time-dependent probiotic effects on fish growth.
- Red drum (Sciaenops ocellatus) growth responses to probiotics administered via water were investigated.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the impact of different durations of probiotic supplementation on red drum growth.
- To compare standard statistical analyses with a mechanistic Bayesian growth model for assessing probiotic efficacy.
- To understand the time-dependent dynamics of probiotic effects on fish growth rates.
Main Methods:
- Juvenile red drum were subjected to three treatments: control, 28-day probiotic exposure, and 56-day probiotic exposure.
- Probiotic PrimaLac® was administered directly to tank water.
- Growth was assessed using conventional ANOVA and a mechanistic hierarchical Bayesian growth model.
Main Results:
- Both probiotic exposure durations improved growth compared to controls, but standard ANOVA could not differentiate between them.
- The Bayesian model revealed higher early growth rates and identified reduced growth in the 28-day treatment after supplementation ceased.
- The 56-day treatment demonstrated a more persistent positive growth response under continuous probiotic administration.
Conclusions:
- Mechanistic hierarchical Bayesian modeling offers a superior framework for analyzing time-dependent growth dynamics in aquaculture probiotics.
- Continuous probiotic supplementation (56 days) is more effective for sustained growth in red drum than short-term (28 days) exposure.
- Further research integrating microbiological analyses is needed to link probiotic mechanisms to observed growth effects.
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