Trend and determinants of underweight among children aged under five years in Rwanda: secondary data analysis using

Gad Binayisa1,2, Samuel Muhirwa3,4, Imelda Dukuze Iryumugabe3,4

  • 1College of Medicine and Health Sciences, School of Public Health, University of Rwanda, Kigali, Rwanda. binayisagad@gmail.com.

Scientific Reports
|July 2, 2026
PubMed

Insights

Underweight in children under five has significantly decreased in Rwanda, falling by 64% over 15 years. Key factors influencing this reduction include improved maternal health services and nutrition programs.

Area of Science:

  • Pediatrics
  • Public Health
  • Global Health

Background:

  • Underweight among children under five years old is a persistent global public health challenge, disproportionately affecting low- and middle-income countries.
  • Globally, significant numbers of children experience stunting (149 million), wasting (45 million), and overweight (37 million), highlighting the complex spectrum of child malnutrition.
  • Rwanda has focused on improving child health outcomes, necessitating an understanding of the trends and drivers of underweight within its population.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To analyze the trends in underweight prevalence among children under five years old in Rwanda from 2005 to 2020.
  • To identify the key determinants associated with underweight in this vulnerable age group.
  • To provide evidence for targeted interventions to further reduce child underweight and achieve Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs).

Main Methods:

  • A pooled data analysis was conducted using four consecutive Rwanda Demographic and Health Surveys (RDHS) from 2005, 2010, 2015, and 2019/20.
  • A total of 15,561 children under five years were included, with sample weights applied for national representativeness.
  • Descriptive statistics, bivariate analysis, and multivariable logistic regression were employed to assess trends and identify significant risk and protective factors.

Main Results:

  • The prevalence of underweight among children under five in Rwanda decreased substantially by 64% over 15 years, from 21.7% in 2005 to 7.7% in 2020.
  • Independent risk factors for underweight included male sex, very small or smaller than average birth size, low birth weight (<2.5 kg), lack of antenatal care, recent diarrhea, and Muslim religion.
  • Maternal age groups 20-24, 25-29, and 35-39 years showed protective effects against underweight compared to mothers aged 40 years and above.

Conclusions:

  • Rwanda has made significant and sustained progress in reducing child underweight, attributed to enhanced maternal health services, nutrition programs, and socioeconomic development.
  • Despite progress, underweight remains a concern, particularly for male children, those with low birth weight, and those experiencing illness or inadequate antenatal care.
  • Continued multi-sectoral efforts focusing on strengthening antenatal care, reducing low birth weight, and managing childhood illnesses are crucial for achieving SDG targets.

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