Assessing Supply, Demand, and Adequacy of Cardiologists in the United States: Projecting a National Shortage

Jason Silvestre1, Ahmed Brgdar2, Qasim Khurshid2

  • 1Medical University of South Carolina Charleston SC USA.

Insights

The US cardiologist workforce faces shortages, with demand outpacing supply. Projections show decreasing adequacy, especially in the West and nonmetropolitan areas, necessitating strategic interventions.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiovascular Medicine
  • Health Workforce Analysis
  • Healthcare Policy

Background:

  • Contemporary studies on US cardiologist supply and demand are limited.
  • Understanding future workforce needs is crucial for healthcare planning.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To project the supply and demand of cardiologists in the United States from 2025 to 2037.
  • To analyze the adequacy of the cardiology workforce and identify areas of potential shortage.

Main Methods:

  • Cross-sectional study utilizing the Health Workforce Simulation Model.
  • Defined supply as full-time equivalent (FTE) physicians working in cardiology.
  • Defined demand as FTE physicians needed in cardiology.

Main Results:

  • Cardiologist supply projected to increase 2.0% (37,000 to 37,730 FTEs) from 2025-2037.
  • Cardiologist demand projected to increase 15.7% (40,110 to 46,390 FTEs) from 2025-2037.
  • Workforce adequacy projected to decrease from 92.2% to 81.4%; significant regional disparities noted, with the West and nonmetropolitan areas facing the greatest shortages.

Conclusions:

  • Anticipated cardiologist workforce shortages in the US, particularly in the West, specific states, and nonmetropolitan regions.
  • Urgent need for strategic initiatives to enhance cardiologist workforce adequacy nationwide.
Abstract

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