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Toward Resilient Cross-Regional Emergency Governance: A Demand-Driven and Propagation-Based Evolutionary Cooperation
Anqi Zhu1, Xihui Wang1,2, Yu Fan1,2
1School of management, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei, People's Republic of China.
Summary
Effective cross-regional disaster cooperation requires understanding disaster demand and propagation. Centralized governance enhances cooperation by reducing competition and volatility, leading to more resilient disaster response.
Area of Science:
- Disaster Management
- Game Theory
- Public Policy
Background:
- Cross-regional cooperation is crucial for large-scale disaster response but often difficult to achieve.
- Regions may compete or cooperate despite similar disaster pressures, leaving policymakers uncertain about cooperation dynamics.
- A clear understanding of factors influencing cooperation is needed for effective disaster management.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop a framework (PDEC) analyzing how disaster propagation, demand, and governance influence cooperation.
- To identify critical factors: disaster demand (shortage risk, response pressure) and disaster propagation (spillover risks).
- To provide guidance for policymakers on assessing cooperation feasibility and designing effective coordination.
Main Methods:
- Developed a propagation-based and demand-driven evolutionary cooperation (PDEC) framework.
- Classified disasters into three propagation types.
- Constructed evolutionary game models under decentralized and centralized governance settings.
Main Results:
- Cooperation is contingent on the interplay between shortage risk and spillover risk.
- Centralized governance improves cooperation by stabilizing outcomes, minimizing inefficient competition, and expanding cooperation conditions.
- Disaster propagation type and governance structure significantly impact cooperation dynamics.
Conclusions:
- The PDEC framework offers insights into cooperation feasibility and failure risks in disaster response.
- Central coordination is vital for enhancing cross-regional cooperation and building resilient disaster management systems.
- This study provides a foundation for proactive risk assessment and improved coordination design in disaster response.
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