Empowering clinical trial design with agentic intelligence and real-world data

Clinical trial design (CTD) is a time-consuming process that requires substantial domain expertise. Large-scale real-world data (RWD), such as electronic health records (EHR), encodes practice-based evidence that is of tremendous value to CTD. In recent years, many machine learning methods have been developed to extract such real-world evidence (RWE) from the RWD to inform CTD, but they still need to be communicated with the domain experts extensively in an iterative manner to be further refined and ultimately useful. In this paper, we introduce EmulatRx, an agentic framework that derives RWE for helping with CTD. Through the iterative conversation and analysis across agents with different roles, EmulatRx can autonomously refine trial protocols and finally generate a robust report containing insights that inform better CTD. We applied EmulatRx on the CTD process for both acute diseases (e.g., septic shock, acute heart failure, acute pulmonary edema, and acute kidney injury) using the MIMIC-IV data and chronic diseases (e.g., Alzheimer's disease and Parkinson's disease) using the INSIGHT Network across five New York City health systems. The results demonstrate EmulatRx's capabilities in facilitating and accelerating the CTD process.