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Bridging the Gap between External and Internal Exposure: Challenges and a Machine Learning Approach Validated Using
Xiao Zhang1,2, Xiaolei Wang1, Junze Ma3
1State Key Laboratory of Environmental Criteria and Risk Assessment, Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences, Beijing 100012, China.
Environmental Science & Technology
|July 9, 2026
Summary
This study introduces a machine learning framework to link external pollutant exposure to internal body dose, overcoming key challenges in risk assessment. The model accurately predicts internal exposure, improving environmental health evaluations.
Area of Science:
- Environmental Health Sciences
- Toxicology
- Computational Biology
Background:
- Quantitative linkages between external and internal exposures are crucial for health risk assessment but face significant challenges.
- These challenges span complex exposure pathways, data gaps, biological sample limitations, and interindividual variability.
Purpose of the Study:
- To review challenges in establishing external-internal exposure linkages.
- To propose a novel machine learning framework (ML-EIExpLink) for robust external-internal exposure modeling.
Main Methods:
- Systematic review of challenges in exposure assessment.
- Development of a machine learning framework integrating diverse data sources (pollutant properties, ADME, exposure factors, environmental, socioeconomic).
- Application of gradient boosting decision trees for predictive modeling.
Main Results:
- The ML-EIExpLink framework demonstrated feasibility and reliability in a case study on benzene ring pollutants.
- The model achieved strong external validation performance (Qext2 = 0.784).
- Key variables like air concentration and temperature showed nonlinear and threshold effects on predicted blood concentrations.
Conclusions:
- The proposed ML-based framework establishes robust and interpretable external-internal exposure linkages.
- This approach offers a valuable tool for enhancing exposure assessment and health risk evaluation.
- The findings highlight the importance of integrating multiple data dimensions for accurate exposure modeling.
