Machine learning-based analysis of drug resistance mutations in Mycobacterium tuberculosis

Tuberculosis is a deadly airborne disease caused by Mycobacterium tuberculosis. Drug-resistant tuberculosis presents significant challenges for treatment and control of the disease. Resistant strains of Mycobacterium tuberculosis arise from specific mutations in the bacterium. Identification and characterization of resistance-associated mutations are crucial for effective treatment strategies because the first- and second-line drugs for the disease target distinct genes in the bacterium and serve different purposes. Our study developed a machine learning prediction model to analyze mutations across multiple drug-resistance types. The proposed framework predicts drug-resistance mutations across four drug-resistance types, including Rifampicin Resistance, Isoniazid Resistance, Multidrug Resistance, and Pre-extensively Drug-Resistant tuberculosis. The NIAID-NIH TB portal is a publicly available dataset of tuberculosis patients, including drug-resistance information. Our study analyzed 3,065 cases of drug-resistant TB. Eight supervised ML algorithms were implemented for the study. A Random Forest classifier with 10-fold cross-validation shows higher predictive performance than the other seven algorithms considered for further analysis. Significant drug resistance mutations were identified using SHapley Additive exPlanations feature importance. The World Health Organisation mutation catalogues, considered the gold standard for drug-resistant mutations, were used to evaluate prediction results. Mutations not reported in the WHO catalogues were identified during the post-prediction comparative analysis stage, as they may represent potential resistance-conferring markers warranting further investigation, including structural and functional validation or experimental validation. The mutations are rpoB-I480T, rpoC-G332R, L527V, gyrA-D94V, KatG-G99E, A106V, W191R, W328C, T380I, and M420T. The study further checks the stability and pathogenicity of the mutations using computational tools, including I-Mutant 2.0 and PredictSNP. The findings added more clarity and further evidence for the significance of the mutation, based on its contribution to drug resistance.