Risk factors and predictive models for perioperative acute kidney injury in children: a narrative review

Liping He1, Manli Zhuang1

  • 1Department of Operation Room, Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Major Obstetric Diseases, Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Obstetrics and Gynecology, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, China.

Insights

Perioperative acute kidney injury (AKI) in children is a significant risk, especially after cardiac surgery. Early identification of risk factors and predictive models are crucial for preventing long-term kidney damage.

Area of Science:

  • Pediatric Nephrology
  • Critical Care Medicine
  • Surgical Outcomes

Background:

  • Perioperative acute kidney injury (AKI) affects 5-30% of pediatric surgical patients, rising to 40% in neonates undergoing cardiac surgery.
  • AKI increases mortality and the risk of developing chronic kidney disease in children.
  • This review focuses on identifying risk factors and predictive models for perioperative AKI in pediatric populations.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To synthesize current evidence on risk factors for pediatric perioperative AKI.
  • To review existing and emerging predictive models for early AKI detection in children.
  • To inform strategies for early risk stratification and preventive care in pediatric surgical patients.

Main Methods:

  • A comprehensive literature search was conducted across major databases (PubMed/MEDLINE, Embase, Web of Science, Cochrane Library) up to March 2024.
  • Search terms included "acute kidney injury," "pediatrics," "perioperative," "risk factors," and "prediction models."
  • Studies involving pediatric patients (age ≤18 years) were included in the narrative review.

Main Results:

  • Key risk factors identified include young age, congenital heart disease, nephrotoxic medication exposure, and major surgeries (e.g., cardiopulmonary bypass).
  • Various predictive models, from statistical methods to machine learning, are evaluated, incorporating novel biomarkers like NGAL and KIM-1.
  • Promising biomarkers such as urinary L-FABP and TIMP-2×IGFBP7 show potential for earlier AKI detection.

Conclusions:

  • Early identification of children at high risk for perioperative AKI is critical for improving outcomes.
  • A need exists for pediatric-specific predictive models, with ongoing research focusing on validation and refinement.
  • Implementing risk-stratified, evidence-based care and validating novel biomarkers can enhance long-term renal health in pediatric surgical patients.
Abstract

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