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Prognostic Factors in Primary Head and Neck Cutaneous Squamous Cell Carcinoma: A Large-Scale, Multi-Institutional
Fábio Muradás Girardi1, Cristian David Cardona Machado2, Ashley Wysong3
1Department of Head and Neck Surgery, Ana Nery Hospital, Santa Cruz do Sul, Brazil.
Journal of Surgical Oncology
|July 12, 2026
Summary
Key prognostic factors for head and neck cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (HNCSCC) include tumor size, differentiation, invasion depth, perineural invasion, immunosuppression, and lymphovascular invasion. Incorporating these can improve patient risk stratification.
Area of Science:
- Oncology
- Dermatology
- Surgical Pathology
Background:
- Current staging systems for head and neck cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (HNCSCC) inadequately stratify high-risk patients.
- Important biological and host factors are often excluded from existing staging criteria.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify independent prognostic factors for HNCSCC outcomes.
- To analyze the largest multi-institutional retrospective series of HNCSCC.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of de-identified data from 8,610 primary HNCSCC tumors treated with curative intent surgery.
- Utilized multivariable Fine-Gray subdistribution hazard regression models.
- Examined outcomes including local recurrence, locoregional metastasis, distant metastasis, and disease-specific death.
Main Results:
- Tumor diameter, poor differentiation, deep invasion, and large-caliber perineural invasion (LCPNI) were strong predictors of adverse outcomes.
- Immunosuppression was linked to increased local recurrence and disease-specific death.
- Lymphovascular invasion (LVI) independently predicted locoregional metastasis; poor differentiation impacted all four endpoints.
Conclusions:
- Tumor diameter, poor differentiation, deep invasion, LCPNI, immunosuppression, and LVI are critical independent prognostic factors for HNCSCC.
- Incorporating host biological and non-anatomic variables can significantly refine HNCSCC staging systems.
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