High-Resolution Modeling of Wet Bulb Globe Temperature Reveals Substantial Heat Risks Across Crops and Work Shifts...

Farmworkers are particularly vulnerable to heat stress, which can escalate into heat-related illnesses such as heat exhaustion or heat stroke, and can also impact productivity loss. Heat exposure varies considerably depending on season, work-shift timing, acclimatization, and workload. We examine the frequency of heat stress exceedance in the Imperial and Coachella Valleys of southern California using wet bulb globe temperature (WBGT) calculated using the outputs from Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model for a reference year of 2020. The critical WBGT threshold of 80℉ is exceeded for more than 500 hr in August, with considerable exceedance in all key harvesting months of April, May, and June. The threshold is exceeded most frequently in August, with daytime (nighttime) exceedance of 96.3% (38.0%) in the Imperial and 72.5% (11.9%) in the Coachella Valleys. Occupational WBGT limits are also exceeded in most crop environments for unacclimatized workers, and even for acclimatized workers during date and sugarcane harvests. Adjusting the work schedule to an early morning or late evening shift can reduce workers' productivity loss by up to 40%. Based on our findings, we propose several strategies to mitigate heat risks among farmworkers: (a) adjusting work hours to include cooler morning or evening hours (b) using WBGT instead of air temperature to monitor heat exposure (c) adopting variable rest-break schedules (d) reducing nighttime heat exposure during summer to allow recovery from daytime heat (e) taking extra precaution in high-risk crop zones (f) avoiding nighttime irrigation during summer, and (g) revising thresholds and definitions used to identify heatwaves.